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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    fukuyamovo review

    We're Cooked
    https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/were-cooked/

    Robinson’s most recent book is his 2020 novel The Ministry for the Future, which Barack Obama named as one of his favorite books. The novel begins sometime in the mid-21st century, when global warming has continued largely unabated from the present. It begins with a massive heat wave that kills 20 million people in India in a single week, and ends, somewhat later in the century, in a happy place (spoiler alert) where enough carbon has been sucked out of the atmosphere to not just slow but to reverse global warming.

    ...

    The premise of the novel is that, following the Indian heat wave, the climate crisis has gotten so dangerous and immediate that governments around the world start throwing everything they have into fighting it. The crisis stimulates a shadowy underground movement called the Children of Kali that starts to assassinate executives of fossil fuel companies, blows up refineries, and shoots down airliners for their carbon output. Governments do not wait for international agreement, but on their own launch ambitious geo-engineering projects to do things like increase earth’s albedo or slow the melting of Antarctic glaciers. The most important initiative carried out by Mary Murphy and her Ministry is to convince a group of central bankers to issue unlimited numbers of carbon coins, which in effect pay people to either not produce or sequester carbon. Rather than making money from pumping oil and gas, fossil fuel companies find that they can earn more profits keeping their reserves in the ground. In addition to reversing the climate crisis, these massive interventions permit governments to cap incomes and institute something like universal basic income, so that everyone is protected from the huge economic disruptions that take place.

    ...

    I suppose that this novel is intended to be a hopeful blueprint for a way out of the climate crisis. Knowing what I do about global politics and human nature, however, The Ministry for the Future left me rather despairing that it will ever be solved. For all of his seeming political sophistication, Robinson posits the most optimistic possible political developments at every turn, developments that enable Russia, China, the United States, Europe, and the developing world to work together cooperatively to solve the problem. For example, the first three countries listed take their aircraft carriers out of military service and use them to support the pumping of groundwater in the Artic. After the heat catastrophe, India gets its act together and acts boldly as a world leader in geo-engineering. The assassinations of corporate executives and the downing of commercial airliners does not lead to repression of the eco-terrorists, but rather convinces people that they should travel by steamship and dirigible instead. They discover that they don’t actually need to get from Zurich to San Francisco in a day, but are much more productive spending several weeks on a ship. The massive economic downturn provoked by the effective withdrawal of liquidity produces global unemployment higher than that of the Great Depression, but it lasts less than a year as central banks create massive amounts of liquidity and are put under the effective control of the people of their respective countries. After being kidnapped and held hostage at one Davos conference, the world’s elites are safely released and agree to climb onboard with the policies demanded by their kidnappers. Five million people spontaneously march on Tiananmen Square and force the Communist Party to work to save the planet instead of prioritizing economic growth. At the same time that they deal with the climate crisis, governments around the world cap wealth and implement something like universal basic income. They do this as they are depopulating millions of square miles of their own territory and allowing it to be reclaimed by native flora and fauna.

    ...

    Robinson is right that our future depends on some big governance choices we have yet to make, both at national and international levels. I’m afraid, however, that if he’s right about the needed agenda, we’re all cooked
    PER2
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    SEJDA: ono ta sopka asi nevybuchuje 24/7/365 hele (samozrejme zalezi na velikosti erupce a jak vysoko se castice dostanou) a mas pocit ze co2 tam hzustane taky navzdy? ale muzes se samozrejme modlit k jakemusi bohu, jestli ti to pomaha

    no a pak tu mas taky takovou zajimavou vec, kdyz ti nekde roztajou ledovce, tak mas mensi tlak, ktery pusobi na podlozi a to ti muze zapricinit vyssi vulkanickou aktivitu
    treba to je dobrej finalni ochrannej system zeme, kterej zamete i s lidma
    "Glaciers and ice sheets on many active volcanoes are rapidly receding. There is compelling evidence that melting of ice during the last deglaciation triggered a dramatic acceleration in volcanic activity."
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    PER2: a proc tedy prach ze sopky nezustal v atmosfere dodnes? A zustava tam vlastne CO2?
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    SEJDA: a slysel jsi nekdy o letadlech balonech a aerosolech? :)
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    PER2: i kdyby doslo k udalosti, ktera v roce 2022 snizi teplotu v Evrope o 0.5°C tak to trend nezastavi, jenom jej to oddali o jeden rok. Z toho mi vyplyva, ze ppan "ochladit Zemi erupcemi" potrebuje sekvenci erupci, a to uz je neco, co se vymyka pravdepodobnosti i schopnostem lidi .. tedy nezbyva nez se obratit na bohy.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    SEJDA: sem se skvele hodi jedno stare kocici porekadlo
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    PER2: ale ono to neochladilo Zemi, jenom to zpusobilo nizsi urodu v preindustrialni ere, a to navic jenom na jeden rok. Ale klidne se modli k bohum sopek .. jestli ti to pripada racionalni.
    TADEAS
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    The Unnatural History of the Sea
    https://islandpress.org/books/unnatural-history-sea

    Humanity can make short work of the oceans’ creatures. In 1741, hungry explorers discovered herds of Steller’s sea cow in the Bering Strait, and in less than thirty years, the amiable beast had been harpooned into extinction. It’s a classic story, but a key fact is often omitted. Bering Island was the last redoubt of a species that had been decimated by hunting and habitat loss years before the explorers set sail.

    As Callum M. Roberts reveals in The Unnatural History of the Sea, the oceans’ bounty didn’t disappear overnight. While today’s fishing industry is ruthlessly efficient, intense exploitation began not in the modern era, or even with the dawn of industrialization, but in the eleventh century in medieval Europe. Roberts explores this long and colorful history of commercial fishing, taking readers around the world and through the centuries to witness the transformation of the seas.

    Drawing on firsthand accounts of early explorers, pirates, merchants, fishers, and travelers, the book recreates the oceans of the past: waters teeming with whales, sea lions, sea otters, turtles, and giant fish. The abundance of marine life described by fifteenth century seafarers is almost unimaginable today, but Roberts both brings it alive and artfully traces its depletion. Collapsing fisheries, he shows, are simply the latest chapter in a long history of unfettered commercialization of the seas.

    The story does not end with an empty ocean. Instead, Roberts describes how we might restore the splendor and prosperity of the seas through smarter management of our resources and some simple restraint. From the coasts of Florida to New Zealand, marine reserves have fostered spectacular recovery of plants and animals to levels not seen in a century. They prove that history need not repeat itself: we can leave the oceans richer than we found them.
    TADEAS
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    Climate change tracking worst-case scenario
    https://youtu.be/fliCxyAwBWU


    TADEAS
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    Climate colonialism and the EU’s Green Deal | Climate Change | Al Jazeera
    https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2021/6/23/the-eus-green-deal-could-propagate-climate-colonialism

    "In the pursuit of making the EU the first climate-neutral region in the world by 2050, Brussels is falling back on its old ways and deploying what we call climate colonialism.

    The EU’s apolitical narrative on climate change – ignoring the impact of colonialism and capitalism and heavily influenced by the very corporations who profit from them – could result in climate action that is not only non-impactful but, worse, could be unsustainable and damaging for marginalised communities on the continent as well as the Global South.

    "Although the end of colonialism was declared decades ago, its last effects in the form of these extractive industries are clear. The system of Indigenous land takeovers, resource extraction, labour exploitation and wealth transfer set up by European colonialists continues to operate and dispossess people in the Global South."
    TUHO
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    PER2
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    SHEFIK: nemusime ani tak daleko ;)
    Year Without a Summer - Wikipedia
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    coz me vede k tomu ze ochladit zemi nebude zas tak velky problem, naopak to bude asi krapet vetsi orisek ;)
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    Když budou ty volby

    Betonu se nenajíme, ani když jej budeme zapíjet řepkovým olejem. Odpovědi SPD na předvolební anketu Ekolistu - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/betonu-se-nenajime-ani-kdyz-jej-budeme-zapijet-repkovym-olejem.odpovedi-spd-na-predvolebni-anketu-ekolistu
    TADEAS
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    20 meat and dairy firms emit more greenhouse gas than Germany, Britain or France | Meat industry | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/sep/07/20-meat-and-dairy-firms-emit-more-greenhouse-gas-than-germany-britain-or-france

    Raising livestock contributes significantly to carbon emissions, with animal agriculture accounting for 14.5% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. Scientific reports have found that rich countries need huge reductions in meat and dairy consumption to tackle the climate emergency.
    TADEAS
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    Extinction Rebellion
    https://www.facebook.com/100067055445890/posts/176182527960261/

    Not only is the fossil fuel industry responsible for extreme weather events. They are not safe from these extreme weather events.

    Here we see numerous Oil slicks, spills and flaring in the aftermath of #HurricaneIda

    Posing a grave danger to people and animals after disaster strikes.

    It is time to shut the fossil industry down, prepare yourself for a post carbon world.


    Aerial Photos Of Hurricane Ida’s Aftermath Show What 'Code Red' for the Planet Looks Like in South Louisiana - DeSmog
    https://www.desmog.com/2021/09/06/aerial-photos-of-hurricane-idas-aftermath-show-what-code-red-for-the-planet-looks-like-in-south-louisiana/
    TADEAS
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    Ukrajině i Polsku navzdory. Poslední část plynovodu Nord Stream 2 je svařená - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/posledni-cast-potrubi-plynovodu-nord-stream-2-je-svarena-174008
    TADEAS
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    Asset value will shape the existential politics of climate change - by Carlos Alvarenga - Thematiks
    https://www.thematiks.com/p/asset-value-will-shape-the-existential

    the authors propose a new framework based on the idea that in every developed nation one finds holders of climate-forcing assets (CFAs) (e.g., example, oil fields, beef farms) and holders of climate-vulnerable assets (CVAs) (e.g., coastal property, fisheries). From the 1980s to mid-1990s, the authors note, CFA holders were content to cast doubt on the certainty of climate science to prevent CVA holders from realizing the threat that they faced and thus mobilizing against CFA-friendly policies. However, starting in the late 1990s, CFA holders became more aware of the economic threats to their assets and began to mobilize, as specific sectors and communities (e.g., coal miners, flood-prone areas) began to feel the real costs imposed by a shifting climate.

    Since that time, many nations and companies have begun to act unilaterally, often in line with the degree of the perceived economic vulnerability of held assets. This shift comes about from a greater awareness of the potential financial impact of climate change as well as the growing number of entities that it affects. In other words, whereas CFA holders were previously generally restricted to fossil fuel companies, the authors note that “it is now clear that vast swaths of the economy will have to decarbonize relatively soon.” Indeed, sectors such as shipping, aviation, and industrial and chemical production can now be considered CFAs. Decarbonization and climate change, note the authors, “are not only deepening the concentration of interests among CFA and CVA holders, they are also ‘broadening’ the dispersion of those interests.”

    The broadening of the present and future CVA ecosystem is leading to new legal and policy initiatives in response to the increasing economic threat that climate change poses. In the legal realm, for example, “there are an increasing number of lawsuits in which future generations and other affected groups are compelling states to increase their climate policies.”

    ...

    Climate change and decarbonization policies raise the prospect of extinction for CVAs and CFAs, respectively. It contrasts with other kinds of distributional politics, which involve adjustments on the margins (for example, falling wages) or through which a substitutable good is lost (for example, high trade tariffs making avocados prohibitively expensive, leading to consumers buying something else). Existential politics often means that there is a contest over whose way of life gets to survive. Should we have Miami Beach and the Marshall Islands, or should we have coal miners, ExxonMobil, and Chevron? This extreme form of distributional politics exists in other areas of international political economy (for example, a trade agreement or technological change can wipe out an uncompetitive industry), but we suggest that the scale of climate change will make existential politics the increasingly dominant lens through which to understand climate politics.
    TADEAS
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    [2106.02512] Interdependence of Growth, Structure, Size and Resource Consumption During an Economic Growth Cycle
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.02512

    All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these features using a stock and flow consistent framework in physical and monetary units. Via an updated version, we explore the interdependence of growth and three major structural metrics of an economy. First, we show that relative decoupling of gross domestic product (GDP) from resource consumption is an expected pattern that occurs because of physical limits to growth, not a response to avoid physical limits. While an increase in resource efficiency of operating capital does increase the level of relative decoupling, so does a change in pricing from one based on full costs to one based only on marginal costs that neglects depreciation and interest payments leading to higher debt ratios. Second, if assuming full labor bargaining power for wages, when a previously-growing economy reaches peak resource extraction and GDP, wages remain high but profits and debt decline to zero. By removing bargaining power, profits can remain positive at the expense of declining wages. Third, the distribution of intermediate transactions within the input-output table of the model follows the same temporal pattern as in the post-World War II U.S. economy. These results indicate that the HARMONEY framework enables realistic investigation of interdependent structural change and trade-offs between economic distribution, size, and resources consumption
    TADEAS
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    Decision Spaces | Vol. 8 No. 1 | Fletcher Security Review
    https://www.fletchersecurity.org/2021-decision-spaces?s=09

    For the past several years, the UN Security Council has
    hosted open debates on climate-security matters. Further,
    in 2017, it took the historical step of linking climate
    change with the deteriorating security situation in the
    African Sahel. In UN Security Council Resolution 2349,
    the “adverse effects of climate change and ecological
    change” in destabilizing the security situation in the
    Lake Chad Basin is specifically highlighted.213 Since
    this resolution was issued, the council followed up with
    additional resolutions in Somalia, Darfur, West Africa and
    the Sahel, and Mali.214

    To be sure, the Security Council has yet to make the formal determination that climate change (or one of its many impacts) are a “threat to the peace” within the meaning of Article 39 of the UN Charter.215 However, there is a growing precedent for the council to use its authorities to address non-traditional security threats, and, in the coming years, the body will be under increasing pressure to address climate-driven security matters in some fashion.216 An Article 39 declaration serves as the legal key, which opens the door for the council to use its awesome Chapter VII authorities.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #NaturalClimateRegulation

    'Catastrophic' supervolcano eruption, scientists find the likelihood | TweakTown
    https://www.tweaktown.com/news/81453/catastrophic-supervolcano-eruption-scientists-find-the-likelihood/index.html

    This is just one of the 20 super volcanos around the world, and the last time it erupted was around 74,000 years ago, spewing six billion tons of sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, reducing global temperatures to 15C and causing what a period of time that was a genetic bottleneck in human evolution. Eruptions from these super volcanoes happen about once every 17,000 years
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