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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / If the fracturing of our once stable climate doesn’t terrify you, then you don’t fully understand it
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Sabrina Fernandes and Iain Bruce bring you a brief look at what has been happening inside the COP26 as world leaders talk up their promises on climate change, and outside, as protesters demand real action.

    Inside Outside, Monday 1 November 2021
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8pFFiJL09o


    https://twitter.com/COP26_Coalition
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    How Much of the Worsening Energy Crisis is Due to Depletion? - Resilience
    https://www.resilience.org/stories/2021-11-02/how-much-of-the-worsening-energy-crisis-is-due-to-depletion/

    Policy makers envision an energy transition in which solar and wind seamlessly and quickly substitute for coal, oil, and gas, leaving consumers enjoying just the same comforts and conveniences as they do now, while emitting no carbon. That’s an exceedingly unlikely scenario. The real energy transition will almost certainly be a shift from using a lot to using a lot less.

    If that’s true, then what should we do? Over a dozen years ago, I was among several energy analysts and commentators who recommended the adoption of depletion protocols (which are essentially programs for conserving and rationing nonrenewable resources) as a policy tool for helping society adapt to the inevitable end of the fossil fuel era. Politicians were uninterested. Today, rationing is still the best policy response. Energy could be rationed in several different ways; in addition to depletion protocols, another rationing approach I’ve long liked is tradable energy quotas, which effectively provide monetary incentivizes to those who use less energy. With rationing, those who use the most sacrifice the most, while those who use the least maintain (or gain) access to necessities.

    There were always two reasons to reduce society’s reliance on fossil fuels: pollution and depletion. Pollution has taken center stage via climate change. But as long as we keep extracting and burning coal, oil, and natural gas, our depletion problem likewise keeps simmering away in the background.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Greta Thunberg and Vanessa Nakate's Open Letter to the Media | Time
    https://time.com/6111851/greta-thunberg-vanessa-nakate-open-letter-media/

    as we don’t have the technological solutions that alone will do anything close to that in the foreseeable future, it means we have to make fundamental changes in our society. This is the uncomfortable result of our leaders’ failure to address this crisis.

    Your responsibility to help correct this failure cannot be overstated. We are social animals and if our leaders, and our media, don’t act as if we were in a crisis then of course we won’t understand that we are. One of the essential elements of a functioning democracy is a free press that objectively informs the citizens of the great challenges our society faces. And the media must hold the people in power accountable for their actions, or inactions.

    You are among our last hopes. No one else has the possibility and the opportunity to reach as many people in the extremely short timeframe we have. We cannot do this without you. The climate crisis is only going to become more urgent. We can still avoid the worst consequences, we can still turn this around. But not if we continue like today. You have the resources and possibilities to change the story overnight.

    Whether or not you choose to rise to that challenge is up to you. Either way, history will judge you.
    THE_DARKNESS
    THE_DARKNESS --- ---
    Jan Činčera: "Možnosti jednotlivce ovlivnit velké dění ve ve světě je jedno z těch témat, o kterých můžeme nekonečně diskutovat. O roli Grety Thunberg se psalo a píše dost, k dispozici teď máme i první výzkumy. Tým Sabherwai et al. zkoumal, zda to, jestli člověk (tedy, Američan) zná Gretu Thunberg, souvisí s jeho přesvědčením, že společně s ostatními dokáže udělat účinnou akci na ochranu klimatu (collective efficacy) a zda takové přesvědčení pak následně motivuje k akcím na ochranu klimatu (intentions to engage in collective action).
    Na obojí našli kladnou odpověď. Akce Grety Thunberg tedy podle autorů posilují naši víru, že můžeme společně klima chránit a ta se pak promítá do našich akcí.
    Na zjištěný vztah přitom nemá vliv věk. Ovlivňuje jej ale politické přesvědčení - liberální názory jej posilují, konzervativní oslabují. ("Moderated mediation models testing age and political ideology as moderators of the “Greta Thunberg Effect” indicate that although the indirect effect of familiarity with Greta Thunberg via collective efficacy is present across all age-groups, and across the political spectrum, it may be stronger among those who identify as more liberal (than conservative). Our findings suggest that young public figures like Greta Thunberg may motivate collective action across the U.S. public, but their effect may be stronger among those with a shared political ideology.")
    Zatím nevíme, jak celý tenhle náš klima příběh dopadne a zda v něm nakonec hlavní roli nesehraje jeden tvrdohlavý senátor ze Západní Virgínie, narcisistní americký ex-prezident, excentrický, miliardami oplývající vizionář nebo někdo jiný, mnohem blíže odpovídající definici osoby oplývající prostředky a mocí. Ale je každopádně zajímavé, že i malí a zdánlivě bezmocní mohou hýbat světem.
    Sabherwai, A. et al. (2021). The Greta Thunberg Effect: Familiarity with Greta Thunberg predicts intentions to engage in climate activism in the United States. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 51, 4, 321-333."
    The Greta Thunberg Effect: Familiarity with Greta Thunberg predicts intentions to engage in climate activism in the United States - Sabherwal - 2021 - Journal of Applied Social Psychology - Wiley Online Library
    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jasp.12737?fbclid=IwAR2piSYsi_KsHU0QHoTE_2mKZmEsYr7xC8dXlycNOngCHIBGUG2Hdb7rS4I
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Ztracenou přírodu už nezachráníme, ale čím dřív začneme konat, tím bude kolaps mírnější, říká ekofilozof • mujRozhlas
    https://www.mujrozhlas.cz/podcast-vinohradska-12/ztracenou-prirodu-uz-nezachranime-ale-cim-driv-zacneme-konat-tim-bude-kolaps

    Proč lidstvo nedělá maximum možného pro to, aby planeta přežila? Ve Vinohradské 12 mluvíme s jedním z nejvýznamnějších ekologických myslitelů současnosti Davidem Abramem.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Beware: Gaia may destroy humans before we destroy the Earth | James Lovelock | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/nov/02/beware-gaia-theory-climate-crisis-earth
    BLAHOVEJ
    BLAHOVEJ --- ---
    Komplexní problémy vyžadují adekvátní formát sdělení.

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Building Climate Knowledge Infrastructures — Strelka Mag
    https://strelkamag.com/en/article/building-climate-knowledge-infrastructures
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    SEJDA: zatím ne: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/change-co2-annual-pct?tab=chart&time=1985..latest
    A i kdyby, tak to zdaleka nestačí, potřebujeme roční pokles cca o 10%, k tomu se neblížíme ani náhodou.
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    TUHO: skoda, ze tam neni i rada pro Global, zajimalo by mne, jestli uz globalni rust zpomaluje (druha derivace negativni)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    jinak sasa ac bude reportovat z prubehu cop26 na a2larmu

    Klimatologův deníček z Glasgow – den první – A2larm
    https://a2larm.cz/2021/11/klimatologuv-denicek-z-glasgow-den-prvni/
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    Jo tyhle znam, mi to nedoslo :) myslel jsem ze neco noveho, dik anyway
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    JIMIQ: Jde, ale myslel jsem, ze vsichni zname .))





    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    TUHO: muzes sem vlozit ty grafy pls? Nebo to nejde?
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Jakub Hruška
    4 h ·
    Jen na okraj klimatického summitu v Glasgow zde přikládám tři grafy. Je to produkce CO2 ze spalování fosilních paliv a výroby cementu (není zahrnuto zemědělství, skládkování, změny v krajině). A předesílám, že jsem přesvědčen, a to na základě vědeckých dat, že dnešní oteplování je způsobeno (nejméně z velké části) lidskými emisemi skleníkových plynů.
    Prim v absolutních emisích hrají Čína, a USA, s mírným odstupem EU a Indie. Indie rychle roste, EU jediná dlohodoběji aspoň trochu klesá. Mimo jiné i proto, že část čínských emisí je prostě "naše". V Číně se vyrábí dnes to, co se v Evropě (pro Evropany) už nevyrábí. Mimo aut snad skoro všechno...
    Klíč k opravdu efektivnímu snížení světových emisí leží v Číně a USA. Pokud se ale podíváme na emise na obyvatele, tam už to tak jasné není - vévodí USA, ale i ČR má velkou uhlíkovou stopu. Takže i na nás záleží. Mimochodem i klimavzorné Německo ji má podobnou jako my. Jenže má jasný plán a záměr ji snižovat.
    Bohužel celosvětově od posledního summitu v Paříži (2015) koncentrace CO2 v atmosférě rostou stejným tempem jako předtím (obrázek). O tom se moc nemluví, ale je to tak. Oteplování se tedy nejen nezastavilo, ale dále pokračuje. Navzdory koronakrizi, která na ča snížila světovou produkci. Z toho plyne jednoznačné poučení, že dobrovolné mezinárodní dohody nefungují. Slíbit se dá cokoliv, že? A jsem zvědav jak z toho politici v Glagow vykličkují. Zřejmě tak, že o tom nebudou mluvit, ale budou uzavírat další závazky. Protože slovy nezarmoutíš.
    Na druhou stranu ani Babišův projev není cesta. Říkat, že celý Green Deal je zelená sebevražda je přízemní privitimismus. Současně ale nutno říci, že například plynové elektrárny (které EU formálně považuje za "neutrální" zdroj) ničím takovým nejsou - prostě spalují také fosilní palivo. Tím si lžeme do kapsy. Ale GD má mnoho jiných, neklimatických skvělých cílů, které se týkají krajiny, zemědělství, biodiverzity a s emisemi skleníkových plynů nemají nic společného.
    Obnovitelné zdroje jsou jistě cesta k lepšímu světu, je to pokrok s velkým P, je to technologicky jiný svět než pálení uhlí. Jenže ještě není asi úplně zralý na úplnou náhradu fosilních paliv. Pořád hlavně nemáme ta úložiště, tedy rozumněj baterky, kam tu, v některých chvílích přebytečnou, elektřinu uložit. To je hlavní limit obnovitelných zdrojů. Proto nám nezbude, než alespoň na nějakou dobu, ty jaderné elektrárny mít. Je to podle mě lepší, než pálit plyn. Mimo jiné, že jsme pak (nejméně v Evropě) závislí na jeho dovozech. A to není politicky šikovné. Pravda, i jaderné palivo si nevyrábíme, ale lze ho velmi dlouho skladovat do zásoby.
    A na závěr je tu věc, o které se vůbec nemluví - úspory a uskovnění. Mluvit v konzumním světě o uskrovnění je politická sebevražda. jenže právě tohle by ty křivky na grafech otočilo dolů velmi rychle. Jenže to z vlastní podstaty lidstva nelze očekávat.
    Takže můj závěr je, že politici se budou scházet, slavnostně slibovat, nabízet finanční odpustky pro třetí svět a emise skleníkových plynů porostou vesele dál. Asi potřebujeme jako lidstvo nějaký silnější impulz, abychom dostali rozum...
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    COP 26: Biden, Bolsonaro a Xi Jinping podpoří dohodu o ukončení likvidace lesů

    Xi Jinping, Jair Bolsonaro a Joe Biden jsou mezi vedoucími politiky, kteří se v Glasgow v úterý připojí k deklaraci požadující ochranu lesů a pralesů na této planetě, na obrovském území od východní tajgy na Sibiři až po nížinu v Kongu, kde je druhý největší deštný prales na světě.
    Součástí dohody je 5,3 miliardy liber nového financování ze soukromých zdrojů a 8,75 miliard liber ze státních zdrojů na regeneraci zničené půdy, na podporu domorodých komunit a na ochranu lesů a nápravu škod po lesních požárech. Otázka je, zda se tyto peníze dostanou do správných rukou.

    Indie přislíbila, že dosáhne nulových emisí až v roce 2070, o 20 let později než ostatní svět, nicméně však Narendra Modi v Glasgow přislíbil pět věcí, mimo jiné, že do roku 2030 bude Indie produkovat 50 procent své energie z obnovitelných zdrojů a emise CO2 sníži do roku 2030 o 1 miliardu tun. Indie má 1,3 miliardy obyvatel a je třetím největším znečišťovatelem ovzduší kysličníkem uhličitým.

    Cop26: world leaders agree deal to end deforestation | Cop26 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/01/biden-bolsonaro-and-xi-among-leaders-agreeing-to-end-deforestation-aoe

    Forests deal at COP26: More than 100 world leaders will agree to end deforestation by 2030 - CNN
    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/01/world/cop26-climate-deforestation-deal-intl/index.html

    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    A tady ještě jedna dobrá paralela k tomu, proč tolik inženýrů pracuje na vývoji CCS:
    The Terror of Deep Time
    September 20, 2017 John Michael Greer
    The Terror of Deep Time | Ecosophia
    https://www.ecosophia.net/terror-deep-time/

    Crackpot realism is one of the downsides of the division of labor. It emerges reliably whenever two conditions are in effect. The first condition is that the task of choosing goals for an activity is assigned to one group of people and the task of finding means to achieve those goals is left to a different group of people. The second condition is that the first group needs to be enough higher in social status than the second group that members of the first group need pay no attention to the concerns of the second group.

    Consider, as an example, the plight of a team of engineers tasked with designing a flying car. People have been trying to do this for more than a century now, and the results are in: it’s a really dumb idea. It so happens that a great many of the engineering features that make a good car make a bad aircraft, and vice versa; for instance, an auto engine needs to be optimized for torque rather than speed, while an aircraft engine needs to be optimized for speed rather than torque. Thus every flying car ever built—and there have been plenty of them—performed just as poorly as a car as it did as a plane, and cost so much that for the same price you could buy a good car, a good airplane, and enough fuel to keep both of them running for a good long time.

    Engineers know this. Still, if you’re an engineer and you’ve been hired by some clueless tech-industry godzillionaire who wants a flying car, you probably don’t have the option of telling your employer the truth about his pet project—that is, that no matter how much of his money he plows into the project, he’s going to get a clunker of a vehicle that won’t be any good at either of its two incompatible roles—because he’ll simply fire you and hire someone who will tell him what he wants to hear. Nor do you have the option of sitting him down and getting him to face what’s behind his own unexamined desires and expectations, so that he might notice that his fixation on having a flying car is an emotionally charged hangover from age eight, when he daydreamed about having one to help him cope with the miserable, bully-ridden public school system in which he was trapped for so many wretched years. So you devote your working hours to finding the most rational, scientific, and utilitarian means to accomplish a pointless, useless, and self-defeating end. That’s crackpot realism.
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    Starší článek, který dobře shrnuje, proč se pořád nedaří vyřešit klima...

    The hopium of the people | Consciousness of Sheep
    https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2018/11/05/the-hopium-of-the-people/
    November 5, 2018
    #CCS #hopium

    Even when fitted to chimneys – where the carbon dioxide is at least concentrated – carbon capture technologies have proved excessively expensive in both financial and energy terms.
    ...
    However, this issue pales into insignificance when compared to the difficulty of storing any carbon dioxide that is captured.
    ...
    Vaclav Smil, a professor at University of Manitoba and master of sobering energy-related numbers, calculates that if we were to bury just one-fifth of the global carbon dioxide emissions, we would need to build an industry capable of handling twice the volume of stuff as the entire oil industry, an industry that took 100 years to develop, driven by a large and mostly expanding market.
    ...
    “Summing up, the path to least climate impact will require nations to work together to cut global carbon emissions by 45% in just over a decade.
    “Such a cut in emissions will require an unprecedented degree of political will and global cooperation…
    ...
    However, after decades of neoliberal politics and economics, only massive sacrifices on the part of the very wealthy are likely to prevent a further drift toward a climate change denying populism among the majority of impoverished citizens.
    ...
    More than six out of every seven people alive today only exist because of the Haber–Bosch process that produces synthetic ammonia (fertiliser) from fossil fuels. Any genuine effort at reversing climate change had to have as its starting point a reduction in the human population at least to the level prior to the (industrial agriculture) “Green Revolution;” less than half of today’s population. Instead – with a great deal of help from religions that implore us to go forth and multiply, and economists that need a new base for the global Ponzi scheme – we have grown our population as fast as agricultural productivity has improved.
    ...
    The choice before us is that we can take action to reverse climate change and a lot of people are going to die. Alternatively, we can do nothing about climate change and a lot of people are going to die. And since nobody has the wisdom or the bravery to make that choice, we can all sit around pretending that some incredibly implausible technology is going to come riding to our rescue… the opium of the people indeed.
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    DNF: To asi vystihuje spíš kynismus https://cs.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kynismus
    Jako osobní řešení je to fajn, život na Zemi tak sice nezachráníš, ale nebudeš mít pocit, že se o něco snažíš zbytečně. Nihilismus podle mě víc sedí na jednání Putina nebo Tykače. Bůh není, vše je dovoleno, fuck you.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Sejarah Poaceae: The Fight to Create a New Paradigm of Old Growth Grasslands
    https://poasession.blogspot.com/2021/10/the-fight-to-create-new-paradigm-of-old.html

    It's crucial to recognise the value of Old Growth Grasslands. They're priceless! Below a wonderful description by a knowledgeable grass lover.


    **What are Old Growth Grasslands?**

    The term Old Growth Grasslands (OGG) is relatively new, and refers specifically to grasslands that are characterized by having:

    Ancient history and heritage, as opposed to being so-called secondary grasslands that just recently arose from human degraded forest or other land. For example, the plant lineages making up the Cerrado in South America started assembling almost 10 million years ago, long before our species even evolved.

    High biodiversity compared to secondary grasslands. In fact, some old growth grasslands boast the highest plant species diversity in the world.

    Very slow rate of recovery when destroyed due to agriculture, plantation forestry, and other human activities. An Old Growth Grassland may take centuries and even millennia (projected 1400 years!) to recover its former species richness when it has been degraded to secondary grassland.

    The term '"Old Growth" is made synonymous with words like ancient, intact, native, natural, pristine, reference, remnant, semi-natural, and undisturbed.

    **What is the problem?**

    There is a widespread perception among people that grasslands (including OGG) are simply degraded forests whose successional development has been arrested by disturbances such as fire and herbivory.

    Policies to combat climate change and protect biodiversity have often ignored the protection of these ancient grasslands, and in many cases have actually caused their destruction via deliberate tree-planting on pristine grasslands (afforestation)....

    **What is happening to Old Growth Grasslands?**

    The old growth grasslands have been and are still one of the most threatened ecosystems in the world, and in fact we have lost and are losing ancient grasslands at a pace that is significantly more rapid than loss of forests.

    **A few examples:**

    The majority of old growth grasslands in the USA has been lost, and only isolated remnants remain. For example, up to 99% of all Tall Grass Prairies in the country is gone, and only isolated remnants remain. Other grassland types are not faring well either. In one year alone (2018-2019), the Great Plains lost 1.1 million hectares, which is an area greater than Yellowstone National Park. Half of the Brazilian Cerrado has already been cleared for agriculture expansion, and up to a million hectares is cleared each year. This is the equivalent of wiping out an area the size of New York City every month! More than half the Pampas of South America have been lost to agriculture and cattle breeding. The remaining 50 million hectares of these grasslands are still being decimated, and are home to 540 recorded wild bird species, 12 of which are globally threatened.

    The recent trend of planting trees to combat climate change has also caused widespread problems, when trees (and especially weedy invasive species) are planted in pristine grasslands ("afforestation") instead of degraded areas.

    **Why must we fight for Old Growth Grasslands?**

    1. The old growth grasslands are the most biodiverse environments in the world at many scales. For example, *a mountain grassland in Argentina had an absolutely amazing 89 vascular plant species packed into a single square meter, a more diverse plant assemblage than one can see even in rainforests.*

    Old growth grasslands are also significantly more diverse than secondary grasslands, having around 37% more species on the whole. When this diversity is degraded, it takes centuries or millennia (projected) for the OGG to reassemble as diverse a community.

    2. Old growth grasslands provide a home for innumerable species of animals. The destruction of old growth grasslands affects all the animals that depend on this habitat. For example, the total population of grassland birds in North America has dropped an astonishing 40% since 1966. One-third of all grassland bird species are on the Watch List due to steeply declining populations and threats to habitat. Birds that breed in the Great Plains of Canada and the U.S. and winter in Mexico’s Chihuahuan grasslands are experiencing exceptionally steep declines, a nearly 70% loss since 1970. Other temperate grassland birds have declined by 33% in that time.

    Old growth grasslands also support numerous rare and endemic species. For example, *the savannas of the South American Cerrado support 4,800 endemic plant and vertebrate species*, all of which could be threatened by the continued decimation of this biome.

    3. Grasslands play an essential role in combatting climate change. The total carbon stored by grasslands and savannahs is estimated at 470 Gt, (i.e. one fifth of the total carbon contained in terrestrial vegetation and topsoils worldwide), an average of 150-200 tons of carbon per hectare. Some studies have shown that grasslands are an even more reliable carbon sink than forests, and *although grasses account for only 3% of plant species on Earth, grass-dominated landscapes contribute 33% of global primary productivity, the amount of CO2 removed from the atmosphere every year to fuel photosynthesis.*

    4. Grasslands collect freshwater for most of the largest rivers of the world. For example, the Cerrado in Brazil delivers 40% of all the freshwater in that country!

    5. Possible conversion to secondary grasslands.

    The loss of old growth grasslands due to conversion to human agricultural use or due to misguided attempts at afforestation frequently results in the rise of secondary grasslands in their place. Such *secondary grasslands are less diverse and usually very fire prone* (which creates new dangers to human communities and forests)...."
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