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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / If the fracturing of our once stable climate doesn’t terrify you, then you don’t fully understand it
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    "Large uncertainties" over warming outcomes from current climate policies | Imperial News | Imperial College London
    https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/232079/large-uncertainties-over-warming-outcomes-from/

    "During COP26, a succession of studies confidently communicated that current policies would lead to 2.7°C of warming in 2100 and emission pledges to 2.4°C of warming, while we find that the uncertainties are much greater and that the answer depends on what model is used."

    The findings showed a wide range of possible scenarios emerging from the selected models, with current policies leading to between 2.3 and 2.9°C of warming in 2100, and pledges on carbon emissions leading to between 2.2 and 2.7°C.

    Dr Gambhir, a co-author for the study and Senior Research Fellow from Imperial's Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment, said: "We could be on a path to just over 2°C, or just under 3°C, with very different climate consequences in each case."

    He added: "Predicting emissions in 2030 is difficult enough but extrapolating to 2100 is heroic and requires a good dose of humility to avoid giving false precision."
    She said: "The large uncertainties indicate that current policies and policy pledges can still lead to warming outcomes of 3°C in 2100.

    "The false precision to climate outcomes given during COP26 may lead countries to believe they are making good progress, when the opposite may indeed be the case."
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    YMLADRIS: nebyl sem si jistej jestli zrovna v tehle mistech horelo, ale pokud ano, pak je to climate related compound disaster?
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    SHEFIK: už jsme měli je to interpretovaný jako compound disaster že třeba v tom Vancouveru je ta povodeň proto že v létě shořely lesy a zmenilo to půdu tak že je tvrdá a voda teď teče Bez jakékoliv zábrany
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Ze by klima?

    Kanadu zachvátily nejhorší povodně za 500 let. Pod vodou zmizely dálnice, na místě jsou mrtví
    https://denikn.cz/753252/kanadu-zachvatily-nejhorsi-povodne-za-500-let-pod-vodou-zmizely-dalnice-na-miste-jsou-mrtvi/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #transitionPain

    Rekordní cena emisních povolenek v EU. Vůbec poprvé se vyšplhala nad 70 eur za tunu
    https://forbes.cz/rekordni-cena-emisnich-povolenek-v-eu-vubec-poprve-se-vysplhala-nad-70-eur-za-tunu/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Budoucnost čistší, levnější, s novými pracovními místy a nulovými emisemi. Dostupné elektromobily pro všechny a zemědělství respektující přírodu. Tak popisuje rok 2050 Matthias Buck, odborník na energetickou politiku z německého think tanku Agora specializujícího se na energetickou tranzici. A kromě toho vám prozradí, jak vypadá takzvaný planetární jídelníček a jak často si v budoucnu budeme moct dovolit steak.

    Bezuhlíková Evropa do roku 2050 je možná, náš životní styl se ale bude muset proměnit, říká expert na energii - VOXPOT
    https://www.voxpot.cz/technologie-pro-obnovitelny-svet-uz-mame-schazi-jen-vule-politiku-i-nas-samotnych-rika-expert-na-energii/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #positive #hope

    Autokraciim se musi nechat, ze otocit kormidlem je fakt rychly :)

    1,5 pul miliardy lidi onboarded. Jeste nas jednou budou ucit o sustainability.

    China creates vast research infrastructure to support ambitious climate goals
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-03491-6

    Carbon-neutrality institutes, and other initiatives to support a pledge to achieve net zero by 2060, are popping up like mushrooms across China.
    ...
    Already this year, more than ten prominent universities and institutions have set up carbon-neutrality-research institutes; the Chinese Academy of Sciences launched a centre last month.
    ...
    The country is experiencing a “national movement”, says Wu Libo, an environmental economist at Fudan University in Shanghai, as companies, regional governments and academia shift gears.
    ...
    Carbon capture and sequestration technologies will also be important to achieving China’s goals, according to the documents, and could be another focus for researchers. There is also a plan for electric and hybrid vehicles to make up 40% of those sold by 2030. Much more detail is expected to come in future documents, say researchers.
    ...
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    hm nespominaju tam preco konkretne hynu tie ryby ci nejake okyselenie vody alebo nieco

    V andském jezeře Titicaca prudce ubývají ryby a voda. I kvůli změnám klimatu - Novinky.cz
    https://www.novinky.cz/veda-skoly/clanek/v-andskem-jezere-titicaca-prudce-ubyvaji-ryby-a-voda-i-kvuli-zmenam-klimatu-40378547
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Carl Sagan Keynote Speech at Emerging Issues Forum
    https://youtu.be/9Xz3ZjOSMRU
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    From Economic Fantasy to Ecological Reality on Climate Change
    https://youtu.be/mv_j-5tiGQY
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: P. Maidowski

    Why this is important: all our models build on wishful assumptions that need to be revisited. Can’t do that if Mann, who doesn’t understand the human predicament, constantly dumbs down the climate conversation
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    people v mann ,)

    The climate community can’t waste time in-fighting. We should not call scientists who warn of collapse “doomers”. We should support their bravery. Most scientists are running to the hills with their families. These ones care enough about you to stay & tell the truth.

    An important PETITION: Celebrity climate communicator, Professor Mann must stop downplaying the severity of our predicament, labelling experts, activists and concerned citizens who disagree either 'doomers' and/or 'bad actors'.
    Please sign and share.

    Denigrating climate activists is unacceptable and dangerous - Action Network
    https://actionnetwork.org/petitions/denigrating-climate-activists-is-unacceptable-and-dangerous
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    THE_DARKNESS: me to neva, tyhle prutokace beru jako takovy blogy :))
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    The central underpinning concept of this study therefore differs from the conjecture in other studies that certain locations may be ‘preserved’ as lifeboats through deliberate action (i.e., by governments or other groups). Instead, the formation of any ‘node of persisting complexity’ would be through system behaviour arising from certain starting conditions, i.e., is an analysis of an evolutionary process that would occur largely outside of direct human control. This description has some similarities with the ‘Regenerative Bioregions’ concept [65] in which future localised populations may persist through their overall biophysical demands matching regional ecological conditions and carrying capacities.

    ...

    The methodology for assessing which nations have the potential to form ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ utilises the outputs of the ‘University of Notre Dame—Global Adaptation Index’ (ND-GAIN) study, which assessed and ranked all nations in terms of vulnerability and readiness to future environmental change. The ND-GAIN ranking was screened against additional semi-quantitative measures specifically related to the ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ concept to generate a ‘shortlist’ of five nations (New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland). Each of these was then further qualitatively assessed for their individual, local-scale (primarily energy and agricultural) characteristics. This identified New Zealand as having the greatest potential to form a ‘node of persisting complexity’, with Iceland, Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland also having favourable characteristics. The United Kingdom presents a more complex picture and potentially has less favourable characteristics overall.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    neco pro ymladris k citadelam :)

    Sustainability | Free Full-Text | An Analysis of the Potential for the Formation of ‘Nodes of Persisting Complexity’
    https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/15/8161

    Human civilisation has undergone a continuous trajectory of rising sociopolitical complexity since its inception; a trend which has undergone a dramatic recent acceleration. This phenomenon has resulted in increasingly severe perturbation of the Earth System, manifesting recently as global-scale effects such as climate change. These effects create an increased risk of a global ‘de-complexification’ (collapse) event in which complexity could undergo widespread reversal. ‘Nodes of persisting complexity’ are geographical locations which may experience lesser effects from ‘de-complexification’ due to having ‘favourable starting conditions’ that may allow the retention of a degree of complexity. A shortlist of nations (New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia and Ireland) were identified and qualitatively analysed in detail to ascertain their potential to form ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ (New Zealand is identified as having the greatest potential). The analysis outputs are applied to identify insights for enhancing resilience to ‘de-complexification’.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition - ScienceDirect
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300999

    2019

    This article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, governance, and conflict. Some of these represent potential gains; some represent losses; and some the capacity of countries to handle changes in geopolitical strength. Five alternative versions of the index are developed to work out the optimal design. First, the energy resource indicators are combined with equal weights to create two simple versions of the index. Next, governance and conflict indicators are included to create three more complex versions of the index. The index provides useful pointers for strategic energy and foreign policy choices: geopolitical power will be more evenly distributed after an energy transition; Iceland will gain most; Russia may be one of the main holders of stranded geopolitical assets; China and the USA will lose more geopolitically than foreseen by other analyses. The index also indicates a lack of emphasis in parts of the literature on space for renewable energy infrastructure and on domestically sourced coal for the current strength of countries such as China and the United States.
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