People keep talking about climate policy as if they didn't understand what is at stake: their lives, freedoms, democracy, civilization.

TADEAS:

P Dynes
https://twitter.com/PGDynes/status/1491911720352337921?s=19

Sulfur emissions over the oceans have been reduced globally by 80% due to new regs. Shipping accounts for around 10% of total global sulfur emissions but nearly 100% over the oceans. The result is adding huge amounts of energy into the dark oceans as we lose cloud Albedo.

Much more super saturated air over the oceans due to lower energy rejection has the potential to lead to mega rainfall events over land influenced by ocean climates. Ireland and the Uk being good candidates for such events.


L Simons
https://t.co/GEWtxiMgua

Global warming to date is caused by greenhouse gases, but sulfur emissions cool ~-0.5°C, hiding part of warming.

Global shipping was responsible for a large part of anthropogenic emissions of sulfur over oceans.

Partial Hegemony - Paperback - Jeff D. Colgan - Oxford University Press
https://global.oup.com/academic/product/partial-hegemony-9780197546383?q=colgan&lang=en&cc=us

The greatest peaceful transfer of wealth across borders in all of human history began in 1973 with the #OPEC oil crisis. Had huge consequences for int'l order. It is one of several key events I investigate that can teach us much about world politics writ large.

Scholars often think about hegemonic decline by looking to Thucydides or the British Empire. But we can learn a lot (more?) from how the US lost some but not all of its dominance in the 1970s over oil. That partial decline shows what the US can expect in other areas in 21st C

The book asks, how do we make sense of the noisy, turbulent world of oil politics? Using a century’s worth of history, I uncover an underlying logic of change. Lessons for three areas: 1-today’s oil politics; 2-theories of international order and hegemony; 3-climate change.

...

I argue #decolonization was a crucial, maybe *the* crucial turning point for the global oil industry. Big interdisciplinary debate about if/how decolonization “mattered”. In the oil industry, it did.

...

E.g., my analysis shows how #OPEC has consistently failed since the 1980s to function as a cartel, because it (mostly) lacks ability to punish its members, let alone other oil producers, for noncompliance. Lesson for climate pol: ability to punish and enforce is crucial.

On climate change, Paris won’t get the job done. Among other things, we need a climate club, enforced by trade measures for non-participating states (eg CBAM). Kudos to @paulkrugman @NatKeohane @toddntucker & others for pushing that idea forward. My book adds to that.


https://twitter.com/JeffDColgan/status/1432654124462575616?s=19

TADEAS:

CGR 2022
https://www.circularity-gap.world/2022

Over the six years between headline-grabbing conferences in the climate calendar, the global economy consumed half a trillion tonnes of virgin materials.

This means that between the 'COP25 in Paris', 2015, where the Paris Agreement was formed and COP26 in Glasgow, 2021, 70% more virgin materials were extracted than what the Earth can safely replenish

...

HALF A TRILLION TONNES OF VIRGIN MATERIALS, OUR WORLD IS ONLY 8.6% CIRCULAR.

zde je hyperpredátorovo

Turning the Desert into a Self Sufficient Eco Community Oasis
https://youtube.com/watch?v=voFbtbXRZ8I&feature=youtu.be


Last year I met a man who has spent 5 years living off grid in the Mexican desert turning degraded land into a fertile, self sufficient homestead.

His aim is to demonstrate that the droughts, water shortages and increasing desertification around can be reversed by integrating a combination of simple water retention methods like digging lakes, ditches, swales, ally cropping and rotating small herds of cattle and goats.

Using local materials from the site he has created several eco buildings using including 3 adobe earth domes a cob houses, rammed earth and straw bales buildings.

Members of the government for agriculture, housing and indigenous people now visit the ranch to learn from his experiments.

OUKE: tusil jsem, ze ti nejde jen o kyslik. jak jsem zminil, je to komplexnejsi a ted Tadeas musi omluvit ze nedodam linky, ale spousta tu uz probehlo a nemam cas dohledavat zpet

1. to ze nebude zivot v mori souvisi s jidlem pro velkou cast obyvatelstva (12%, u low income zemi jde az o 20% prijmu animal proteinu denne)
2. to vyusti v migraci a vyssi tlak na lokalni zdroje, vcetne vody, intenzifikaci vyroby (pravdepodobne vic plochy, pokud technologicky nevyresime jidlo jinak)

3. korali maj vliv na druhovou rozmanitost v mori, potravni retezec, pokud nebude pestrej, nebudou v hojnosti vyssi morsti zivocichove, kteri ukladaji co2 (resp. kyselinu uhlicitou) rozpustenou v mori do svych koster, ktere pak padaji ke dnu (podobne jako stromy odcerpavaji co2) (asi se da mitigovat mangroove porosty a potapenim / stavenim struktur v morich a oceanech)
4. pokud nebudou ani rasy, podobne jako rostliny na sousi, nedojde k odcerpavani co2 (a opet ubude skrysi pro nizsi morsky zivocichy)

5. pokud by nebyly stromy, dojde k velmi rychlemu odcerpavani vody z krajiny, nejen kvuli tomu, ze sami zadrzuji vodu, a pak ji nasledne v horkych dnech uvolniju ve forme vlhkosti, cimz ochlazuji/reguluji teplotu okoli, ale delaji stin pred sluncem/snizuji odpar v pude pod nimi, zadrzuji i vlkost pod korunama, i na zemi pod listim atd. pro dalsi zivocichy. Taky zabranuji vetru, aby vysusoval krajinu. Pomahaji i lokalni tvorbe mraku / lokalnim bourkam, takze je otazka, kolik by pak kde bylo srazek.
6. bez vody v krajine nebude krom prehrad moc mist, jak nas uzivit. Maximalne opet technologie odsolovani z more.

== opet boj o zdroje, vysoka migrace, mozna i valky, rozhodne snizeni zivotni urovne pro vetsinu obyvatelstva na zemi

7. zvysujici se teplota bude mit za nasledek rozpinani vzduchu, ktery bude ridsi, a to vcetne kysliku. co2 je tezsi (ma vyssi hustotu nez kyslik/zbytek vzduchu), bude se tak koncentrace hromadit vic pri zemi a umocni efekt. jake ma dopady zit ve vydychane mistnosti vime
8. zvysujici se teplota sama o sobe bude mit dopady na zdravi lidi - a to ne jen ve forme umrti, ale energie/aktivity/pracovni efektivity - jake je to pracovat v lete vime (tohle konkretne se da asi mitigovat klimatizaci)
9. zvysujici se teplota bude mit umocnujici efekt na odpar vody z krajiny, na produkci rostlin, ktere nas/nami chovane zvirata zivi, stejne tak na produkci zivocisne vyroby (napr. mleka)

bude toho vic souviset dohromady, to jen tak naokraj, ze ten kontext kysliku je jen mala soucast celyho obrazku

TUHO: Strasne bych si pral aby nebyl, ale vsechny indicie rikaji ze je. Kromne lidi ktery s tim maji nebo meli neco spolecneho a tvrdi ze to umi sestrojit, ale neumi vyrobit.