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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    tohle si pusťte:
    Martin M. Šimečka: Připravovat se na válku je jako připravovat se na smrt • RESPEKT
    https://www.respekt.cz/podcasty/martin-m-simecka-pripravovat-se-na-valku-je-jako-pripravovat-se-na-smrt
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: a k vzteku by bylo, kdyby to pak ufoni ani nenechali odpalit :(
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    GOJATLA: zima by zpomalila oteplování, ale není to ten případ kdy pochcípají všichni savci. To bys musel údajně nejdřív vytěžit veškeré zbývající Uran udělat z něj bomby a pak to odpálit celý najednou, čím by ses dostal asi na sílu kterou měl asteroid který sejmul dinosaury. Zdroj kurzgesagt
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    SHEFIK:
    #realist/pessimist

    rozhodne je to dalsi prilezitost a skvela moznost vyuzit to k rychlejsi transformaci energetiky, ale po zkusenostech s vyuzitim transformace v dobe covidu, bych krotil tvuj optimismus

    jako daleko realnejsi vidim spis rozsireni tezby uhli/plynu/ropy/prolomeni limitu, rozjeti uhelek naplno atp... jakmile nas dozenou ceny, ktere pujdou nahoru a to nejen v energetickem sektoru(a to pravdepodobne jiz brzy), lidi budou chtit okamzita reseni + uvidime jak moc je evropa stale solidarni s ukrajinou v takove situaci a jestli ten putinuv plyn/ropa nebude shudnejsi reseni i pres ty jeho male bezvyznamne pehlednutelne preslapy, ehm

    a jedna paralela, jak dlouho nas ruzni lide varovali pred ruskem a jak to vsichni vesele ignorovali, nez k tomu nakonec doslo a bylo pozde
    a jak dlouho nas ruzni lide varuji ped zmenou klimatu ..... ted se prece mame dobre, takze se nic takoveho urcite nemuze stat, ze....




    GOJATLA: nasi predci prezili doby ledove, neni duvod, aby i tohle nekdo neprezil
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Takže nuklearni zima by nebyla tak zla? Nehrozi 10 let tmy, kterou prezijou jen lisejniky? Moc jsem to nestudoval, necekam, ze by k tomu doslo. Narozdil od lokalniho konfliktu, napr indie a pakistanu.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Pod čarou: Solarpunk. Snění o lepší a funkční budoucnosti - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/domaci-zivot-v-cesku-pod-carou-solarpunk-sneni-o-lepsi-a-funkcni-budoucnosti-191909
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #optimist

    Imho je tohle prilezitost a potencialni akcelerace transformace, ktera sice kratkodobe vyvola vetsi tlak na fosil, ale tim tlakem samotnym nastavi i zrcadlo. A pokud to vlady ukociruji, muze dojit i k masivnim investicim do renewables/clean sources, vcetne zdroju hnojiva, nebo regenerative/sustainable pristupu.

    Ale o to vic to bude nektery lidi bolet a o to tezsi to bude pro zvoleny politiky. V kratky dobe budou bojovat na nekolika frontach - obrovska inflace u nezbytnych statku - jidlo, preprava; drahe energie; politicka a bezpecnostni stabilita.

    Jestli ma lidstvo jeste sanci na sustainabilitu at uz svou politickou reprezentaci, nebo pochopenim globalniho kontextu a jeho podpory se projevi v nejblizsich letech... pokud ne, pak to bude opravdu doom koncem stoleti
    DNF
    DNF --- ---
    V podstate jen urychleni toho, by cekalo vase deti v jejich super krasne budoucnosti. #doomsayer
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    PER2: projistotu jsem $doom short i long zaroven.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    TADEAS: porad tu mame ve hre ty atomovky :p
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    PER2: roztomilé, skoro tak jako aktivisti volající po snížení outputu. tak a teď nevím, co si mám vybrat.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: tak to vychází nádherně, skoro jako padající křivka emisí... a pak by byl zbytek století na dohlazení viď
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: wen $doom to the moon? .) wen 1 lambo = 1 potato
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    #kecy Dívala jsem se jak by to bylo s tou totálně vyhlazovací jadernou válkou, a vychází to na 3B mrtvejch lidí (kdyby se 15k existujících atomovek rovnoměrně rozmístilo na 4000 světových velkých měst, pro co největší damage). Zbytek by přežil, bylo by více rakoviny. Versus ten uvažovaný pokles populace na 1B v případě oteplení o dostatek stupňů ke konci století kvůli rozpadu klimatu.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS: tak dik, se mi ted bude bezva spat :D no kazdopadne letos si se sazenim zemiaku dam zalezet
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Putin’s energy shock is becoming a world food crisis. Brace for rationing.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/putin-s-energy-shock-is-becoming-a-world-food-crisis-brace-for-rationing-20220304-p5a1m8.html

    The world faces what amounts to a commodity “black swan” across the gamut of primary resources. Oil, gas, coal and the “ags” are all spiralling higher together, with metals catching up fast. It is a systemic stagflation shock, an intractable problem for central bankers. It acts like a war reparations tax on the economies of importing nations and is ultimately contractionary.

    Natasha Kaneva, from JP Morgan, said inventories of tradable commodities are critically low and the world is running out of safety buffers. This is a recipe for “non-linear price increases”, she said.

    Unlike the West, China is prepared. It has been stocking up for months and holds 84 per cent of the world’s copper, 70 per cent of its corn and 51 per cent of its wheat. “China has bought enormous quantities of US soy in recent weeks,” said Rabobank. One might ask if Xi Jinping knew something in advance.

    Record food commodity prices are an ordeal by fire for some 45 poorer countries that rely heavily on food imports: the Maghreb, the non-oil Middle East, swathes of Africa, Bangladesh or Afghanistan. The World Food Programme warned of “catastrophic” scarcity for several hundred million people last November. The picture is worse today.

    ...

    Energy and farm commodities are interlinked. Natural gas is a feedstock for fertiliser production in Europe, and lest we forget, Russia and Belarus together account for a third of the world’s exports of potash. Rocketing oil prices are driving a switch to biodiesel in south-east Asia, further tightening the global market for vegetable oils.

    ...

    Roughly a third of world exports of barley come from Russia and Ukraine combined, 29 per cent of wheat, 19 per cent of maize, as well as 80 per cent of sunflower oil. Much of this is usually shipped through the Black Sea ports of Odesa, or Kherson - scene of hand-to-hand street battles until it fell on Wednesday - or Mykolaiv, where a Russian missile hit a Bangladeshi-flagged bulk carrier this week and killed one of the crew.

    “Loading is at a standstill. It is not just the ports: you can’t get a ship in there. Nobody wants to get stranded,” said Mr Abbassian. Lloyd’s List reports that the northern Black Sea and the Azov have been declared “warlike operations areas’, implying double pay for crews, if you can get them.

    Insurance rates are prohibitive and banks are refusing letters of credit, even though grains, fertilisers and energy products are exempt from sanctions. Shippers are scrambling to find out what it means for a counterparty to be “connected with Russia”.

    Everybody is wary of the US Treasury’s sanctions police, known as OFAC (US Office of Foreign Assets Control). The US law firm Crowell and Moring said clients fear that they may be caught in the net inadvertently, given that targeted oligarchs control much of Russia’s agro-industrial nexus in one way or another. Every transaction has to be screened to the finest detail.

    “Russian and Ukrainian wheat are not being offered. Critical corn flows to the world are being stymied. If Ukraine farmers do not plant substantial quantities of corn next month, the supply crunch will be very severe,” said Rabobank.

    ...

    Smaller farmers in Russia have been shut out of the domestic credit market just before planting season. Emergency tightening by the central bank has lifted average loan cost to 27 per cent this week.

    Chicago wheat futures have hit an all-time high of $US1,131. The squeeze is worse for the rest of the world because the broad dollar index is up 30 per cent since the last peak in 2008.

    For good measure, Rabobank says we must contend with intense La Niña weather patterns and drought in Brazil and Argentina. “Grain shortfalls are likely to be so pronounced as to require demand destruction, or rationing,” it said.


    TADEAS:
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    TUHO: "Je čas na odvážné činy"
    ja bych si o tom radsi jeste par(desitek) let povidal, pro jistotu :)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Ruská agrese zatřásla s plány na transformaci energetiky. Je čas na odvážné činy
    https://denikreferendum.cz/clanek/33737-ruska-agrese-zatrasla-s-plany-na-transformaci-energetiky-je-cas-na-odvazne-ciny
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    IPCC Climate Last Warning
    https://youtu.be/sE0J6T5FArQ
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    :)

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