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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: jinak ty videa v podobe pro svet uz existuji napr. od kurzgesagtu, ale v Cesku by zabralo asi neco speciificky na miru Cesku - informace o krajine, jake rostliny budou fungovat, jaka transformace (vetrnik za kazdou vesnici?) tady ma smysl.. nejaky analyzy jsou na Fakta o klimatu.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    HANT: já bych si přála mediální analýzu jak by mělo vypadat kreslené video a který Pavel Liška by ho měl namluvit, aby to lidi zaujalo. Plus pak zaplacení kampaně pro šíření na sockách. Jako že

    1. Jak bude vypadat Cesko v 2050 - nac se pripravit, vyzneni "da se to zvladnout, kdyz zacneme hned" = pocasi, krajina, lesy, ... Co uz vime, ze se nezmeni.

    2. Co nejhorsiho riskujeme, pod nedostaneme sklenikovy efekt pod kontrolu. Jak vypada otepleni napr. o 4 stupne

    3. Co ma cena/vykon smysl z pohledu jednotlivce abych delal?

    4. Jaka opatreni pro transformaci k udrzitelnosti delaji v zahranici = co mam chtit po svych zastupitelich?

    Najmout nejlepsi marketery, aby z toho udelali "dobrej pribeh", aby to melo vyzneni co clovek muze delat, ale aby to nezastiralo, ze situace je vazna.

    Vychazi to z predstavy ze zijeme v demokracii a ze je dulezite, jake priority ma vetsina volicu. Coz nevim, zda je pravda.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    HANT: za me jednoznacne velryby :)

    (Mysleno vazne, kdyztak muzu dohledat vic podkladu a poslat postou, nejde jen o skevestraci co2, ale i zajisteni kolobehu zivita v oceanech - nejenze se zivi planktonem, ale vytvareji takove prostredi, ve kterem se mnozi atd atd.)

    The Economic Value of Living Whales | GWC | Great Whale Conservancy
    https://www.greatwhaleconservancy.org/the-economic-value-of-living-whales
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Do 30 let bude v Česku horko jako v Kazachstánu, státy se budou rozpadat, říká vědec - Aktuálně.cz
    https://zpravy.aktualne.cz/domaci/do-30-let-bude-v-cesku-horko-jako-v-kazachstanu/r~48f8b060126611ed8d680cc47ab5f122/?
    HANT
    HANT --- ---
    Možná bych měl možnost pomoci směřovat větší finanční dar na nějaký klimatický projekt. Dárce zajímá především co dává smysl z pohledu efektivního altruismu. Nějaké tipy? Chápu, že je to poměrně ze široka položená otázka, ale budu rád za jakoukoliv inspiraci / nasměrování k dalšímu studiu. Přijde mi, že smysl by mohlo dávat především nadějné, ale hodně podfinancované projekty nebo prosazování politiky.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Scientists have been forecasting that burning fossil fuels will cause climate change as early as 1882 — Quartz
    https://qz.com/817354/scientists-have-been-forecasting-that-burning-fossil-fuels-will-cause-climate-change-as-early-as-1882/
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    muj oblibeny autor videi je zpet
    Do volcanoes produce more CO2 than human activity -- a look at Ian Plimer's claim.
    https://youtu.be/q1c3IKqQ2Sc
    HERR_FLICK
    HERR_FLICK --- ---
    PER2: to mi je jasný.. jako na novinkách bych to chápal
    U idnes taky průměrný IQ klesá, ale co je nahovno je, že zrovna tohle bude drtivej názor těch pořád trochu inteligentnějších jedinců ve společnosti

    I kdyby se přes kvůli suchu odstavenou jaderku přehnalo tornádo a podminovala jí ruská armáda, tak jádro bude většina stále protežovat, i když narozdíl od peněženek to klimatickou změnu nebude mít dostatečně brzo žádnej vliv
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    HERR_FLICK: cist diskuse na ceskych serverech by se dalo oznacit za sebeposkozovni, pls dont do it
    HERR_FLICK
    HERR_FLICK --- ---
    SCHWEPZ: tady mě fascinuje většina komentů, který brečej po zavřenejch nebo nepostavenejch jaderkách (a po stavění přehrad)
    A to hned pod článkem s fotkama vyschlejch řek, v době, kdy se aktuálně mnohejm jaderkám snižuje výkon, nebo se odstavujou kvůli nedostatku vody a její vysoký teplotě

    Nápad hodnej výstavby kanálu Dunaj-Odra-Labe v současný situaci

    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    Hunger stones by sme mali, teraz este hunger games

    https://9gag.com/gag/avA3235
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Sustainable food trust
    https://www.facebook.com/106118112798911/posts/5455487734528562/

    The BBC recently published the results of a newly developed algorithm which uses publicly available information to estimate the greenhouse gas and biodiversity impacts of various food items. A chart published in the article shows beef and lamb as most impactful, with Yorkshire puddings, fizzy drinks and ready meals coming out as more environmentally sound.

    Such tools seek to offer clarity to consumers, enabling them to make informed choices at the checkout and reduce their ‘foodprint’. Unfortunately, reducing our environmental impact to estimates and carbon-focused solutions risks taking us further away from a transition to sustainable systems. Citizens deserve to be given information which provides a complete picture of the sustainability of the products they buy.

    We’d argue that in order for such a tool to measure environmental impact accurately, it would require:

    ◾️ all food manufacturers to be transparent about their recipes, origin of ingredients, processing, and supply chain. Where and how were ingredients produced?

    ◾️ for the food categories used to be based on nutritional recommendations rather than retailers' classifications

    ◾️ for measures of sustainability to be consistent, using one framework and measuring more than just GHG emissions

    ◾️ environmental indicators weighted equally and linearly, regardless of the agricultural production method.

    Our focus is to enable consumers, retailers and policymakers to understand the action required for us to move to more sustainable food systems and products. As the article states, ‘reliable information of this kind hasn’t been available’ – we’d argue that the tool featured in this report brings us no closer to having such information.

    How do we get there? A Global Farm Metric. A science-based, common language framework that assesses whole farm sustainability, and draws on social, economic and environmental data from the farm, to ensure true clarity and a full understanding of the impact our choices have.

    Global Farm Metric | Measuring On-farm Sustainability
    https://www.globalfarmmetric.org/

    Supermarket food could soon carry eco-labels, says study - BBC News
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-62460551

    FB-IMG-1660388093736
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: Researchers have used deep learning model to more richly capture how human civilization will collapse and ecosystems disintegrate. Their findings will be presented at the upcoming Earth4None conference.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Coal-rich Poland faces winter of energy discontent | Business | Economy and finance news from a German perspective | DW | 11.08.2022
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.dw.com/en/coal-rich-poland-faces-winter-of-energy-discontent/a-62759074
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Researchers have used deep learning to model more precisely than ever before how ice crystals form in the atmosphere. Their paper, published this week in PNAS, hints at the potential to significantly increase the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting.

    The researchers used deep learning to predict how atoms and molecules behave. First, models were trained on small-scale simulations of 64 water molecules to help them predict how electrons in atoms interact. The models then replicated those interactions on a larger scale, with more atoms and molecules. It’s this ability to precisely simulate electron interactions that allowed the team to accurately predict physical and chemical behavior.

    “The properties of matter emerge from how electrons behave,” says Pablo Piaggi, a research fellow at Princeton University and the lead author on the study. “Simulating explicitly what happens at that level is a way to capture much more rich physical phenomena.”

    Deep learning can almost perfectly predict how ice forms | MIT Technology Review
    https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/08/11/1057623/deep-learning-predicts-ice-formation/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    PER2: back to mama
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    3 Grad mehr | oekom verlag
    https://www.oekom.de/buch/3-grad-mehr-9783962383695

    Eine kleine Rezension zum Buch "3 Grad mehr. Ein Blick in die drohende Heißzeit und wie uns die Natur helfen kann, sie zu verhindern" - gUG Umweltschutz und Lebenshilfe
    https://www.umweltschutz-und-lebenshilfe.de/eine-kleine-rezension-zum-buch-3-grad-mehr-ein-blick-in-die-drohende-heisszeit-und-wie-uns-die-natur-helfen-kann-sie-zu-verhindern/

    The book describes relentlessly what an emerging 3 degree warmer world looks like. It describes the resulting weather, biodiversity, agriculture, the consequences of flight and economic risks. But it also describes many nature-based solutions as to how a 3 degree warmer world could still be prevented.

    In the "Call to Action" the book deals with (possible) social coexistence in Germany, as well as with possible solutions, financing possibilities and the power of civil society.
    The editor of the book, Klaus Wiegandt, writes on page 289 under the title: “People have to know what to expect! Solution approaches, their affordability and the power of civil society”:

    “In this world, where we will be dealing with a radicalization of weather patterns and with temperatures that can even be up to 6 degrees higher on average over land areas, we have to reckon with serious consequences for global agriculture, with massive damage to global infrastructure and significant impairment or even destruction of large ecosystems.
    The majority of people will be affected by unprecedented restrictions on their living and survival conditions, countless will lose their lives. South of the Sahara uninhabitable regions will arise and millions of people will be forced to migrate, as "climate refugees" they will mainly target Europe. Unlike today, the Mediterranean region will not be a new home for them, increasing dryness and drought will also lead to desertification there”.

    At the same time, the climate crisis is causing a massive biodiversity crisis. Particularly interesting are passages in the work on the flight of many species (flora & fauna) to the (cooler) north or to (cooler) heights:

    “In the UK, of nearly 330 animal species being studied, 275 have migrated north at a rate of 14 to 25 kilometers per decade. These include representatives of a wide variety of animal groups, from mammals, birds and fish to spiders, butterflies, dragonflies and centipedes. Within a few decades, the poleward boundaries of their ranges have shifted northward by up to 60 kilometers” (p. 32).

    And: "Since 1970, the average temperatures in the Swiss Alps have risen by 0.36 degrees Celsius per decade, at the same time the upper limit of the occurrence of various animal species has moved uphill by 47 to a maximum of 91 meters per decade. The plants are 17 to 40 meters. However, because the isotherms have shifted by up to 71 meters, these significant changes in most plant and animal species are insufficient to keep pace with rising temperatures (pp. 33-34).

    Or the so-called “postponed phenologies” can be read in the book:

    “For Bavaria, these long-term records show that the hazel blossom was 23 days earlier as a result of the rising temperatures between 1961 and 20210 (…). Of course, these shifts, which can be observed all over the world, have a significant impact on the world of organisms that depend on certain processes in nature being synchronized in time. This ensures that predators meet their prey and that young animals hatch or are born when they find optimal food in nature. Plants need to flower when their pollinators are active, when parasites meet their hosts at the right time (p. 50).

    Rarely has a book about the climate crisis been so motivating to act now, to become active, to change something, maybe to prevent something, or at least to adapt structures to the climate catastrophe.

    Stefan Rahmstorf writes (p. 30) on a 3 degree warmer world: “I am not sure whether the reasonably civilized coexistence of people as we know it will continue under these conditions. I personally consider a 3 degree world to be an existential threat to human civilization
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    TADEAS:
    Koyaanisqatsi - Ending Scene (Best Quality)
    https://youtu.be/OacVy8_nJi0
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    The drought across Europe is drying up rivers, killing fish and shriveling crops
    https://www.npr.org/2022/08/12/1117130528/the-drought-across-europe-is-drying-up-rivers-killing-fish-and-shriveling-crops
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Mass crop failures expected in England as farmers demand hosepipe bans | Drought | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/12/mass-crop-failures-expected-in-england-as-farmers-demand-hosepipe-bans
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