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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    ZAHRADKAR: Na AMOC je jeden z top expertu Stephan Rahmstorf z Potsdamu. Mrkni na tuhle pulhodinovou prezentaci, shrnuje tam svuj cca 20let trvajici vyzkum v pulhodine

    Tipping risk of the Atlantic Ocean's overturning circulation, AMOC. Keynote by Prof. Rahmstorf
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHNNW8c_FaA


    Konkretni projekce jsou v tomhle case (nejvetsi pruser pro Anglii a Skandivanii, s poklesem v zime az o 40 stupnu Celsia - s rychlosti 4 stupne za dekadu):

    Tipping risk of the Atlantic Ocean's overturning circulation, AMOC. Keynote by Prof. Rahmstorf
    https://youtu.be/ZHNNW8c_FaA?t=1726


    Na rvoji otazku o kompenzaci odpovida tu (ano, na nejakych mistech to kompenzovat bude, ale je to takova tenka slupka na rozhrani mezi brutal ochlazenim kolem UK a Skandinavie a brutal oteplenim vsude mozne...) Jestli koukam dobre, tak je ale dobra sance, ze v ty slupce bysme zrovna mohli bejt my :D Aneb "aaalways look on the brighter side of life"

    Tipping risk of the Atlantic Ocean's overturning circulation, AMOC. Keynote by Prof. Rahmstorf
    https://youtu.be/ZHNNW8c_FaA?t=1807
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    ZAHRADKAR: bude nám kurevská kosa
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TADEAS: takhle jsem to úplně nemyslel, ale i to moje nemyšlené mělo svojí uhlíkovou stopu, samozřejmě :-)
    ZAHRADKAR
    ZAHRADKAR --- ---
    Maji vedci nejakou predstavu, co se stane s klimatem ve stredni Evrope, kdyz zkolabuje AMOC, ale zaroven pobezi dal oteplovani? Nabyl jsem dojmu ze konsensus je, ze se ocekava otepleni u nas do konce stoleti o asi celkem 4-6C, je to tak? Takze pokud by mel AMOC ochladit Evropu o 8-10C, je mozne, ze se to nejak vicemene vyrusi?
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 🌏 🦣
    @rahmstorf
    Important preprint: https://arxiv.org/html/2406.11738v1

    1. The authors identified where the #AMOC tipping point is in a state-of-the-art climate model.
    2. They identified what are observable & robust precursor signs before tipping in the model.
    3. They looked for such warning signs in real ocean data.
    4. They found signs that the AMOC tipping point will likely be crossed around mid-century.

    Note that the tipping point is where the AMOC collapse starts; it will then take decades to a century until it’s complete.

    They found that the critical place to look for warning signs is in the South Atlantic at the latitude 34 South (the tip of South Africa). I first suggested this in a 1996 paper based on theoretical considerations.

    Probability Estimates of a 21st Century AMOC Collapse
    https://arxiv.org/html/2406.11738v1
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    XCHAOS: jj, vzhledem k tomu, ze celou technosferu bylo potreba nejdrive vymyslet, mysleni ma sekundarni uhlikovou stopu opravdu extremni .]
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: standby spotřeba těla ale dělá prý asi 70%.... největší uhlíkovou stopu má myšlení :-)
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    Koubský měl nějaký výpočty že chodit pěšky je neekologické, protože to tělo je potřeba živit.

    Nejlíp mám dojem vycházelo kolo nebo elektrokolo
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    XCHAOS: v jiným auditku, už nevím kde přesně, by ti ukázali studii a výpočet, že helikoptéra má nižší emise než 150 nosičů :D
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    DZODZO: a ten oxid uhličitý, kterej ta helikoptéra vypustila, ovšem zůstal v atmosféře obíhat neodbouranej doteď (v průměru, lze doložit průběžnou změnou poměru izotopů uhlíku v tom CO2 v průběhu času)
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    dufam ze pri patku mozem jeden historicky offtopic k preprave vrtulnikmi, helikoptera nahradila 150 nosicov ale bolo to v dobe ked bolo este v tatrach kopu snehu :)

    Vysoké Tatry - Preprava vrtuľníkom (1957)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NfVH-F17MI
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    XCHAOS: (neškodná, jsem chtěl napsat...)
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TUHO: ano. česky letadlo :-)

    jenže to není úplně pravda: vytářet sekty, bubliny a pyramidové hry je lidské. Ve skutečnosti je těžké najít nějakou ekonomickou aktivitu, která ve své podstatě není pyramidové schéma - stačí se jen pozorně koukat

    ten proof of work (zbytečný! stačí si představit atomické wallety, s jediným nedělitelným coinem, které by znemožňovaly double spending) a uhlíková stopa je to, co BTC dělí od běžné sekty a běžné pyramidové hry. Haré Kršna se svým vegetariánstvím jsou proti tomu úplne škodná sekta... Hare bitcoin, Bitcoin hare to prostě přehnali...
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Based on daily values, the July average at Mauna Loa was 425.6-425.7 ppm. That's 3.8 ppm higher than last year; one of the biggest year-on-year increases I've seen!
    Kees van der Leun: "Large jump in atmospheric CO2! Based on daily va…" - mastodon.energy
    https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/112890706428246969
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    SEJDA: no visa se hlásí ke 100% renewbles. energetickej mix btc je stále kolem 50% renwbles...
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    NOT related

    Extrémní deště na jihu Čech. Za hodinu spadlo 105 mm srážek - Novinky
    https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/domaci-extremni-deste-na-jihu-cech-za-hodinu-spadlo-105-mm-vody-40482617
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: ehm, bankovnicky system pouzivaji 4 mld lidi? .. Bitshit 4 miliony?
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z jineho soudku - novinky v pocasi. Wild-fire fire-breathing thunderstorms.

    Doporucuju fotodokumentaci

    Fire-Breathing Smoke Storms Punch High Into the Atmosphere | Discover Magazine
    https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/fire-breathing-smoke-storms-punch-high-into-the-atmosphere

    As is evident from the image above and others that follow, these pyrocumulonimbus clouds, or pyroCbs, offer a visually dramatic reminder of just how extreme wildfire behavior can get. But they are significant for other reasons as well.

    PyroCbs can hurl barrages of lightning bolts to the ground, triggering even more wildfires. They also can help spread harmful particulate pollution far and wide, and even drive smoke into the stratosphere, five to seven miles above Earth's surface. Here, the smoke can actually influence the global climate, recent research has shown.

    ...

    It has long been known that pyrocumulonimbus clouds rise up from volcanic eruptions and nuclear explosions. But the first scientific confirmation of a pyroCb erupting from a wildfire didn't come until the year 2000.

    As the climate has warmed, and wildfire activity has intensified, pyroCbs have grown larger and more frequent, with record-breaking events in 2017, 2019, 2020 and 2021. In that latter year, an early and unusually warm fire season produced particularly scary pyroCb outbreaks.

    On July 16 of that year, an astonishing 10 pyroCbs blew up along the Saskatchewan-Manitoba border in Canada. Up until that point, this was a greater number than scientists had ever observed in North America on a single day since satellite tracking began in 2013, according to NASA.

    The outbreak came just two weeks after a monster pyroCb astonished scientists. It happened as a storm cell grew above a wildfire in British Columbia and spread across more than 62,000 square miles. That's an area slightly larger than the state of Georgia. This gargantuan cloud propelled a chimney of smoke into the stratosphere, as high as 10 miles up.
    ...
    The North American Lightning Detection Network recorded nearly 113,000 cloud-to-ground lightning strokes during the event, a large amount for a storm in Canada," according to NASA. "One meteorologist calculated that this one pyroCb event produced about 5 percent of Canada’s total annual lightning all at once."
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    :D
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS:nevim, ale mel by.
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam