• úvod
  • témata
  • události
  • tržiště
  • diskuze
  • nástěnka
  • přihlásit
    registrace
    ztracené heslo?
    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Peak into future

    ...

    Water Rationing Begins in Tehran

    Iranian authorities have begun night-time water cuts in parts of Tehran as the country faces it’s the worst drought in 100 years according to officials.

    Local media report that supplies are being shut off overnight in several districts, with officials warning of “periodic water cuts” if conditions don’t improve.

    Reservoirs supplying the capital are at critically low levels, and the government has urged residents to conserve water.

    https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1987188988654899483?t=s-_g3VfO76EiHF8xWdXruw&s=19
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    UK opts out of flagship fund to protect Amazon and other threatened tropical forests | Cop30 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/nov/05/uk-opts-out-of-flagship-fund-to-protect-amazon-and-other-threatened-tropical-forests

    The key announcement for Brazil at the leaders’ summit on Thursday, which is taking place a few days before the start of the main Cop30 UN climate summit, will be the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF).

    This fund aims to raise $125bn for governments and local communities that protect existing forests, such as the Amazon and the Congo basin. Lula hopes to raise $25bn from public sources, mainly developed countries attending Cop30, with the rest to come from the private sector and financial markets.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
    We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the
    climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction,
    unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms,
    floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing.
    Key Highlights
    • The year 2024 set a new mean global surface temperature record, signaling an escalation of climate upheaval.

    • Currently, 22 of 34 planetary vital signs are at record levels.

    • Warming may be accelerating, likely driven by reduced aerosol cooling, strong cloud feedbacks, and a darkening planet.

    • The human enterprise is driving ecological overshoot. Population, livestock, meat consumption, and gross domestic
    product are all at record highs, with an additional approximately 1.3 million humans and 0.5 million ruminants added weekly.

    • In 2024, fossil fuel energy consumption hit a record high, with coal, oil, and gas all at peak levels. Combined solar and
    wind consumption also set a new record but was 31 times lower than fossil fuel energy consumption.

    • So far, in 2025, atmospheric carbon dioxide is at a record level, likely worsened by a sudden drop in land carbon uptake
    partly due to El Niño and intense forest fires.

    • Global fire-related tree cover loss reached an all-time high, with fires in tropical primary forest up 370% over 2023,
    fueling rising emissions and biodiversity loss.

    • Ocean heat content reached a record high, contributing to the largest coral bleaching event ever recorded,
    affecting 84% of reef area.

    • So far, in 2025, Greenland and Antarctic ice mass are at record lows. The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets
    may be passing tipping points, potentially committing the planet to meters of sea-level rise.

    • Deadly and costly disasters surged, with Texas flooding killing at least 135 people, the California wildfires alone
    exceeding US$250 billion in damages, and climate-linked disasters since 2000 globally reaching more than US$18 trillion.

    • Climate change is endangering thousands of wild animal species; more than 3500 species are now at risk and
    there is new evidence of climate-related animal population collapses.

    • The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is weakening, threatening major climate disruptions.

    • Climate change is already affecting water quality and availability, undermining agricultural productivity, sustainable
    water management, and increasing the risk of water-related conflict.

    • A dangerous hothouse Earth trajectory may now be more likely due to accelerated warming, self-reinforcing
    feedbacks, and tipping points.

    • Climate change mitigation strategies are available, cost effective, and urgently needed. From forest protection
    and renewables to plant-rich diets, we can still limit warming if we act boldly and quickly.

    • Social tipping points can drive rapid change. Even small, sustained nonviolent movements can shift public
    norms and policy, highlighting a vital path forward amid political gridlock and ecological crisis.

    • There is a need for systems change that links individual technical approaches with broader societal
    transformation, governance, policies, and social movements.
    Figure 1.Time series of climate-related human activities. In panel (f), tree cover loss does not account for forest gain
    and includes loss due to any cause. For panel (h), statistics are based on total energy supply (Energy Institute 2025);
    hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in supplemental figure S2. Sources and additional details about each
    variable are provided in supplemental file S1.

    Figure 2.Time series of climate-related responses. For surface temperature anomaly (d), estimates based on a
    segmented linear regression model are shown in gray (prior to 2010) and black (beginning in 2010). For area burned
    (o), the black horizontal lines show changepoint model estimates, which indicate abrupt shifts (supplemental figure S3).
    For other variables with relatively high variability, local regression trendlines are shown in black. The variables were
    measured at various frequencies (e.g., annual, monthly, weekly). The labels on the x-axis correspond to midpoints of years.
    Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S1.


    https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biaf149/8303627
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    The green transition has a surprising new home
    https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/08/21/the-green-transition-has-a-surprising-new-home

    The green transition has a surprising new home

    Forget about northern Europeans, with their coalition governments and love of cycling

    Picture a country where renewables are being rapidly rolled out and electric-vehicle sales are surging, and you will probably have in mind somewhere smug and northern European; a place with tall people, coalition governments and a yen for cycling holidays. Or perhaps the first thing that pops into your head is the sheer scale of China, which manufactures the bulk of such equipment and last year contributed more than half of the global increase in solar and wind installation.Think again. For a wave of Chinese-made electric vehicles is flooding new markets. In the past year sales of evs have more than tripled in Turkey, where Togg, a local brand, is also popular—they now account for 27% of all cars sold, making the country the fourth-largest European market. Last year more than 70% of cars imported into Nepal were electric. Some 60% of new cars sold in Ethiopia were battery-powered, after the state banned sales of internal-combustion-engine vehicles altogether. ev sales have doubled in Vietnam over the past year owing, in part, to VinFast, a local carmaker. Two- and three-wheelers are surging in popularity, too. The International Energy Agency (iea), a forecaster, reckons that across developing countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America ev sales rose by 60% in 2024.

    It is a similar story with renewables. In the first six months of the year, Pakistan generated 25% of its electricity from solar power—not far below the 32% managed by California, a clean-energy pioneer. The country’s battery imports are booming as well. Indeed, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, a think-tank, estimates that on current trends battery storage will cover 26% of Pakistan’s peak-electricity demand by 2030. Meanwhile, over the past year Morocco has increased its wind generation by 50%, becoming the country with the ninth most. India has seen four months of decline in coal-power generation, aided by an increase of 14% in renewable generation.Lust for powerAlthough the principles of international climate diplomacy suggest that poorer countries, being less responsible for climate change, have less duty to go green, many face strong economic incentives to do so anyway. Most countries in the global south are energy importers, and therefore must use scarce foreign currency to buy oil and gas. China and India have coal reserves that play an important role in their economies and power generation, but neither has significant oil or gas reserves. For its part, Ethiopia’s ban on internal-combustion engines was not a green measure—it was designed to cut spending on fossil fuels and save foreign currency.

    Moreover, across emerging markets, Chinese-made evs are now about as cheap as traditional vehicles. In some places, they are even cheaper. The iea reckons that last year the average Chinese ev sold for around $30,000 in Thailand, compared with $34,000 for the typical petrol-engine car. At the bottom end of the market, old-fashioned vehicles still have an advantage, but only a relatively modest one. Government policies have also made a difference. In Turkey purchasers of evs typically paid a tax of only 10%, compared with one of between 45% and 220% for petrol-powered vehicles. The recent surge in part reflected car-buyers getting ahead of a reduction in the generosity of the policy.

    Clean technology generally requires more upfront investment than fossil-fuel tech, even if it has lower lifetime costs. This has historically held it back in places where the cost of capital is high. The iea has calculated that the typical cost of capital for a solar project in India, for instance, is 11%, compared with around half that in rich countries. But the Rocky Mountain Institute, an American pressure group, now estimates that, owing to falling prices, many clean technologies have reached “capex parity”, where initial costs are the same as fossil fuels on a per-unit basis. As a consequence, they have become more attractive in large parts of the world.Tariffs have been helpful, too. As America and the eu attempt to shut out Chinese evs, they are finding their way to other markets—at even cheaper prices. For the most part, emerging markets lack legacy manufacturers that will lobby their governments to keep out Chinese imports. Yet this relatively free trade is at risk as protectionism begins to spread. Until recently Brazil allowed evs into its economy tariff-free; now it is gradually raising import taxes to 35% by 2026. India’s imports of finished solar panels have stagnated as the country seeks to build its own supply chain. Nigeria is considering banning solar-panel imports altogether in an effort to support domestic manufacturers.

    Governments are at least also creating loopholes that allow Chinese imports to continue so long as the companies in question commit to local production. Brazil has carved out an exemption for byd, a carmaker, while it establishes a factory in the country. Indonesia has reduced value-added tax on evs from 11% to 1% for vehicles that meet a 40% local-content requirement; foreign manufacturers, meanwhile, can bring in equipment duty-free so long as they promise to increase domestic production by 2026 and provide a guarantee for the forgone tariffs if they do not follow through. Such policies are far from perfect—but they are better than the alternative. Well-heeled northern Europeans have something to learn. ■
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Trump couldn’t get it passed... - Alt National Park Service
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1CEeHbqLqw/

    Trump couldn’t get it passed in his big 💩 bill, so now here are his executive orders.

    Let’s break down what Trump’s new AI executive orders actually mean. On July 23, the administration issued a sweeping directive to “facilitate the rapid and efficient buildout” of AI infrastructure by, in its own words, “easing Federal regulatory burdens.” One order explicitly calls on agencies to “streamline environmental reviews and permitting” by using existing exemptions or creating new ones. In practice, that means fewer safeguards, less public input, and fast-tracked approval for massive data center construction, even on federal land.

    What’s more, the administration brags that it “revokes a Biden-era Executive Order that would have saddled AI data center development … with pages of DEI and climate requirements.” This signals a wholesale retreat from environmental accountability. These data centers are notoriously energy and water intensive, using millions of gallons of water daily and consuming electricity at rates that rival entire cities. And under this new policy, they can now be built without the oversight meant to protect air quality, local ecosystems, and public health.

    We’re already seeing the real-world impact. In South Memphis, particularly in Boxtown, a neighborhood long burdened by industrial pollution, residents are now facing a new threat: up to 35 unpermitted methane gas turbines powering xAI’s “Colossus” supercomputer. These turbines emit massive quantities of nitrogen oxides and formaldehyde, smog-forming and carcinogenic pollutants that have increased local ozone by 30 to 60 percent and worsened asthma rates in a community already leading the state in emergency asthma visits. Advocacy groups, including the NAACP and the Southern Environmental Law Center, issued a Clean Air Act notice, calling the site potentially “the largest industrial source of smog-forming pollutants in Memphis.” Residents report rising cases of respiratory illness, days too unhealthy to be outside, and a cancer risk four times the national average. Although local officials recently approved a turbine permit, the very next day brought a Code Orange air alert, underscoring the mounting public health crisis tied to unchecked AI development.

    The orders don’t stop there. They also cancel major clean energy infrastructure, like the 4.9 billion dollar Grain Belt Express transmission line, and steer AI growth toward fossil fuels and nuclear instead of renewables. This could severely hinder U.S. climate goals and lock in decades of carbon-heavy infrastructure. Taken together, the language of these executive orders makes it crystal clear: this isn’t just about AI, it’s a full-speed deregulation plan that prioritizes corporate expansion over the health of American communities.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Mozna, kdyz nechame zachranu klimatu na bobrech, budem uspesnejsi

    ...

    In Czechia beavers built a dam in 2 days, which local authorities had been planning for 7 years

    The animals saved the administration $1.2 million.

    A project to restore wetlands in the Brdy Landscape Park had been in development since 2018. Over the years, the administration gathered all the necessary permits and was ready to begin construction.

    But it turned out to be unnecessary—local beavers, which have lived in the park since 2020, took matters into their own hands, building dams in the required locations.

    "The beavers saved us 30 million Czech korunas. They built the dams without any project documentation—and for free," said the head of the nature reserve administration.

    x.com
    https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1886446291674149157?t=fSpssXUx6_eCvUFtFYWPkw&s=19
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800924002210
    In the last decade many publications have appeared on degrowth as a strategy to confront environmental and social problems. We undertake a systematic review of their content, data and methods. This involves the use of computational linguistics to identify main topics investigated. Based on a sample of 561 studies we conclude that: (1) content covers 11 main topics with the four dominant ones being Environmental justice, Sustainable wellbeing, Local/urban practices and Democracy and civil society; (2) the large majority (almost 90%) of studies are opinions rather than analysis; (3) few studies use quantitative or qualitative data, and even fewer ones use formal modelling; (4) the first and second type tend to include small samples or focus on non-representative cases; (5) most studies offer ad hoc and subjective policy advice, lacking policy evaluation and integration with insights from the literature on environmental/climate policies; (6) of the few studies on public support, a majority concludes that degrowth strategies and policies are socially-politically infeasible; (7) various studies represent a “reverse causality” confusion, i.e. use the term degrowth not for a deliberate strategy but to denote economic decline (in GDP terms) resulting from exogenous factors or public policies; (8) few studies adopt a system-wide perspective – instead most focus on small, local cases without a clear implication for the economy as a whole. We illustrate each of these findings for concrete studies.

    The weakness of degrowth studies in terms of data analysis – whether quantitative or qualitative - is understandable to some extent. The idea of degrowth is so far from reality that good empirical studies are hardly possible. Undertaking experiments with degrowth is also impossible as one cannot isolate one part of society from the rest and subject it to a completely different economic regime.
    FRK_R23
    FRK_R23 --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: Think global, act local :)
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    YMLADRIS: dlouhodoba obdobi klidu a miru te proste ukolebaji....
    Local authorities have been criticised for failing to issue timely warnings about the potential dangers of the storm.

    Valencia’s government has admitted it only sent out text messages warning residents of the catastrophe eight hours after floods were first reported and 10 hours after AEMET issued a warning about “extreme danger” in the region.

    This brief message sent just after 8pm on Tuesday came too late for many who were already trapped in their homes, in shops or in their cars on the streets as the deadly flooding hit.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    atom bad

    Google signs advanced nuclear clean energy agreement with Kairos Power
    https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/sustainability/google-kairos-power-nuclear-energy-agreement/

    - The grid needs new electricity sources to support AI technologies that are powering major scientific advances, improving services for businesses and customers, and driving national competitiveness and economic growth. This agreement helps accelerate a new technology to meet energy needs cleanly and reliably, and unlock the full potential of AI for everyone.
    - Nuclear solutions offer a clean, round-the-clock power source that can help us reliably meet electricity demands with carbon-free energy every hour of every day. Advancing these power sources in close partnership with supportive local communities will rapidly drive the decarbonization of electricity grids around the world.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    solved by AI (sponsored by your local megacorp)

    FB-IMG-1728464974098
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    post helene - zajimalo by me v jakem rozsahu a jak casto by bylo toto potreba, aby klima proniklo do obecneho povedomi jako priorita

    Just got off the phone a Pastor in the midst of the flooding in TN/NC. He is in one of the most devastated locations. He verified a few things about the situation:
    - Almost all help is being done by private citizens, mainly churches.
    - Private helicopters are flying in the vast majority of the supplies.
    - Local Sheriffs are telling people to feel free to defend their property from looters by whatever means they have. 🔫
    - WROL (Without Rule of Law) is happening in some areas, which means looting, robbing, and etc.
    - FEMA's involvement has seriously complicated the rescue efforts.
    - Local Sheriffs have threatened to arrest FEMA workers if they hinder rescue and aid work.
    - The response to this tragedy has been massive and overwhelming. All from private individuals and local Churches.

    Pray for these people!

    We did a run yesterday from east TN to around Burnsville, NC in the deep hills and hollers... church to church is the only real tangible aid. We didnt have any fed resistance in our convoy thankfully. Heres a street in one of the back woods hollows w a message...

    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: Třeba to za zkoušku stojí, má-li to význam z hlediska energie a infrastruktury (čímž bych i narážel na dostupnost fosilních paliv ať už pro vybudování/transport, nebo samotnou produkci syntetických hnojiv aj.), kratším obdobím růstu. Faktem, že se permafrost nachází hlavně v oblastech jako je Russkiy mir, Kanada, nebo USA (tj. geopolitický faktor - budeme mít jako EU dobré vztahy apod.).

    Jinak nejde jen o neúrodnost, ale pokud se nepletu je ta půda plná toxických těžkých kovů (např. rtuti) a taktéž je zde riziko virů. Nicméně hlavním faktorem permafrostu je to ohromné množství sklenníkových plynů uložených v něm.

    Samotné tání bude trvat dost dlouho (tedy, snad?) a ta půda bude neustále v pohybu, včetně explozí a následných metanových kráterů. No, není to zrovna přívětivé prostředí pro zemědělství ať se na to podíváme jakkoliv.

    A posledně k tomuto tématu, vůbec nevíme jaké čekat teplotní výkyvy, srážky,.. no to je spjaté se zmíněným prouděním v bodech, které TUHO sdílel.
    As a consequence of global warming and human-induced climate
    change, the thawing of permafrost not only contributes to global
    greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and warming, but also poses
    substantial risks to both local ecosystems and human communities in
    affected regions

    Considering the cold winters and short, cool summers, the presence
    of permafrost affects the availability of arable land and the growing
    season for crops, making agriculture challenging. While climatedriven northward expansion of agriculture increasingly provides
    new food sources, little is known about the effectiveness, feasibility
    and risks in cultivation-permafrost interactions.

    Thawing permafrost also releases contaminants, including
    mercury, into the environment. This negatively
    impacts water quality in Arctic rivers and lakes, leading to potential
    risks to human health through contaminated food chains and drinking
    water sources.

    Beyond its ecological consequences, permafrost thaw has significant
    implications for the infrastructure built on permafrost soil. As the
    ground becomes unstable, buildings, roads, pipelines, water facilities,
    and communication systems are damaged and hazardous substances mobilised

    Up to 80 per cent of infrastructure elements
    show substantial infrastructure damage and 70 per cent of current
    infrastructure in the permafrost domain is in areas with high potential
    for thaw by 2050
    https://global-tipping-points.org/

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tldr vlada nastavila podminky pro renewable business a ten chce vytezit australii. Jenze se zapomnelo i na jednotlivce, na kterych bohuzel take zalezi. Tak ted lidi apeluji na vladu, aby je do transformace take zaregulovala :)

    Regional Australia Institute report: ‘We cannot simply aim to reach net zero at any cost’ | Rural Australia | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/aug/13/regional-australia-institute-report-we-cannot-simply-aim-to-reach-net-zero-at-any-cost

    There is growing discontent on the plains of western Victoria as renewable energy companies chase the region’s abundance of sun and wind.

    The Wimmera Southern Mallee region, home to prosperous cropping and cattle farms, is in a renewable energy zone, earmarked for wind and solar farms and transmission lines.

    “People who have fear in their heart for a whole range of reasons do get really worked up,” Sounness said. “I sat in a meeting where a farmer said, ‘The only way this project goes ahead is when I get carried out in a coffin.’
    ...
    But communities need improved engagement from governments, a commitment to use local workers, as well as more housing, healthcare and early education.

    “We cannot simply aim to reach net zero at any cost,” said the institute’s chief executive, Liz Ritchie. “It must be done in a way that is just and provides local opportunities, in an efficient manner, with an equity of outcomes for all Australians.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Florida: tree cactus becomes first local species killed off by sea-level rise | Florida | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/09/florida-key-largo-tree-cactus-extinct
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Climate damages are "6X LARGER than previously thought", says new NBER working paper
    – every 1C wipes out 12% of global GDP
    – every tonne of CO2 causes >$1,000 of damages

    The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change: Global vs. Local Temperature
    A business-as-usual warming scenario leads to a present value welfare loss of 31%. Both are multiple orders of magnitude above previous estimates
    ___
    Obecně nejsem velký fanoušek toho, jak pře-soustředění jsme na měřítko HDP oproti všemu ostatnímu, ale i v relaci k ekonomice se zdá, že ty zprávy nejsou zrovna pozitivní.

    Trochu mi to připomnělo W. Nordhause a jeho publikaci, kde tvrdí, že globální prům. oteplení o +3C by znamenalo pouhý 2.1% pokles v globálním HDP, v případě +6C (!) pohých 8.5%,
    poté co si on a další neoklasičtí ekonomové vymysleli "nobelovu cenu za ekonomii". Odůvodněním bylo, že většina zisku vzniká uvnitř budov, které lze klimatizovat :clown_face:
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    SHEFIK: Díky za odpověď.
    2) to je opět neúplné rozebrání toho co jsem popsal, nicméně to je asi jedno, musel bych onu knihu přečíst a vzhledem k mému nezájmu nemá smysl ji na můj již dost dlouhý seznam "to-read" přidávat, nepřijde mi, že by mi těch 300 stran bylo přinosných.

    K bodu 3; jako celek a shrnutí lidského chování, zaujatosti, energii, ekonomii, ekologii,.. to považuji za dost dobrou publikaci. Autor také vede podcast (viz na mém profilu) kde konrkétní témata (a další) rozebírá se samotnými vědci, autory, atd.
    Přijde mi, že tvá kritika vychází z neporozumění/neznalosti této perspektivy, možná je to však i chyba autora, já se ke knize dostal již po tom co jsem se s thermoeconomics (také nazývané biophysical economics) seznámil.
    Tím mám namysli brát potaz (mimo jiné) termodynamické zákony, protože poté se "obnovitelné" (zavádějicí název - znovupostavitelné) zdroje, nebo recyklace ukáží v jiném světle (tím neříkám, že jsem proti znovupostavitelným zdrojům, nebo recycklaci). Nemluvíme pouze o "carbon footprint", ale také o "material footprint". Nevím jaká je momentální statistika, ale ta co si pamatuji je, že se globální dluh každých 8-9 let zdvonjásobuje (opět exponenciální funkce), k tomu vezmi v potaz úvěr (Compound interest).
    Tím podepisujeme naši budoucnost a generace (pakliže se něco nezmění) k další spotřebe fosilních paliv a tězbě surovin. Další kritkou je to, jak jsou momentálně fosilní paliva a nerostné suroviny naceněny, jak už jsem zmínil, a také jak nejsou negativní externality téměř brány v potaz.
    Případně jak, nebo spíše měli bychom, nacenit biosféru, dáme nějakou cenovku na Slona afrického, Medvěda ledního? (More than 44,000 species are threatened with extinction (That is still 28% of all assessed species.))

    Nicméně, než abych tu parafrázoval (a také přiznám, že ekonomie je sice něco zajímavého, ale netrávím nad tím tolik času, abych tu psal detailní výklad), tak poskytnu pár zdrojů, citací, konceptů:
    __
    Money creation in the modern economy (Bank of England)
    This article explains how the majority of money in the modern economy is created by commercial banks making loans. Money creation in practice differs from some popular misconceptions — banks do not act simply as intermediaries, lending out deposits that savers place with them, and nor do they ‘multiply up’ central bank money to create new loans and deposits.

    __
    How Is Money Created?
    This chapter describes how money is created. Many people mistakenly believe that money can only be created by governments or central banks. But money today is mostly – but not exclusively – created by commercial banks.

    __
    How the Federal Reserve makes money
    The Federal Reserve has vowed to provide up to US$2.3 trillion in lending to support households, employers, financial markets and state and local governments struggling as a result of the coronavirus and corresponding stay-at-home orders.
    __
    The Delusion of Infinite Economic Growth
    Even “sustainable” technology such as electric vehicles and wind turbines faces physical limits and exacts environmental costs

    __
    Economists and Scarcity
    __
    None of the world’s top industries would be profitable if they paid for the natural capital they use
    __
    Diminishing returns
    The law of diminishing returns (also known as the law of diminishing marginal productivity) states that in productive processes, increasing a factor of production by one unit, while holding all other production factors constant, will at some point return a lower unit of output per incremental unit of input.

    __
    The real cost of energy
    __
    Economics for the future – Beyond the superorganism
    We lack a cohesive map on how behavior, economy, and the environment interconnect.
    Global human society is functioning as an energy dissipating superorganism.
    Climate change is but one of many symptoms emergent from this growth dynamic.
    The real problem of humanity is the following: we have paleolithic emotions; medieval institutions; and god-like technology.

    __
    Accelerated Crash Course (Youtube, zkrácená verze)
    Chris Martenson is a scientist, an economic researcher and a writer who first came to prominence in 2008 with the release of his groundbreaking video series The Crash Course. The series’ purpose was to provide sorely missing context for the tectonic shifts long underway in the world’s economic, energy and environmental systems

    __
    Biofyzikální/environmentální/ekologičtí ekonomové:
    William E. Rees https://www.resilience.org/resilience-author/william-rees/
    Josh Farley https://www.uvm.edu/cals/cdae/profiles/josh_farley
    Herman Daly https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Daly
    Steve Keen https://profstevekeen.substack.com/
    Kate Raworth https://www.kateraworth.com/
    __
    SHEFIK: K této zprávě, ano vyložil sis to asi nepřesně, a i následovně byla samotná zpráva zkroucena dalším uživatelem.
    Ten exponenciální růst asi už chápeš a to, že je to blbost pakliže se o něj budeme snažit s znovupostavitelnými zdroji. Budu si pamatovat dodávat "ekonomický růst", aby to nemátlo.
    První věta o využívání zdrojů, když jsou dostupné je relevantní, hlavně v přebytku se solární energií, k hlubším rozebrání onoho tématu jsem se tam nedostal a zmínil pouze historickou paralelu, v dneším světě by mohlo jít o plánování energeticky náročné produkce a procesů, u nás zejména v letních mesících.

    Ano, vše vyžaduje energii, i tak jsme za 50 let kdy se jedná o slušně podepřenou tézi udělali velmi málo a spíše se hledají cesty jak vše posunout na "zítra".
    Co se nepodarilo je celoplanetarni kulturni buffer, pac 'vyspely svet' tvori mene nez polovinu lidske populace a i v ramci vyspeleho sveta je dost diskutabilni jake procento lidske populace dokaze takhle komplexni vec pojmout a a adekvatne na ni reagovat.
    Já mám problém už s tím termínem "vyspělý", ale chápu, že jsi to též uvedl do apostrofu, naopak právě populace v "nevyspelých" zemích je ta, která následky klimatických změn, nebo znečištění, zněužití pociťuje nejvíce, a mám pocit, že ta znalost a reakce je v některých případech znatelnější než v zemích "vyspělých" - nutno však podotknout, že máš li něco na prahu dveří, ta reakce je nutná, pro nás v Česku je mnoho stále dost abstraktní.

    Ještě k tomu vláknu Energie, když už jsi sdílel můj komentář, tak jsem pár příspěvků níže pod ním sdílel pár odkazů, hlavně bych chtěl doporučit zmíněnou literaturu ohledně energie, zdá se, že to je též téma, které tě zajímá :) [CHOSIE @ Energetika a energie v politické a hospodářské perspektivě]


    SHEFIK: - na toto navážu až si na to najdu čas, rozhodně zajímavé téma na diskuzi :)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Deep Adaptation & The Right to Collapse
    https://felixderosen.substack.com/p/deep-adaptation-and-the-right-to

    Collapse remains taboo in conventional discourse because it denies the legitimacy of existing power structures. Hungary’s history, and its location at the edges of Western power, gives it a certain freedom of thought. How else can you explain that the conference was hosted by the National University of Public Service? In his opening talk, the rector of the university shared rather matter-of-factly that “the goal of global sustainability will give way to the goal of local resilience,” and that the role of the state and its public servants was to empower local communities in the face of social-political breakdown. I simply cannot imagine that type of discourse coming from the leadership of any American university.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    NREL Unveils Groundbreaking Generative Machine Learning Model To Simulate Future Energy-Climate Impacts - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2024/04/10/nrel-unveils-groundbreaking-generative-machine-learning-model-to-simulate-future-energy-climate-impacts/

    Sup3rCC is an open-source model that uses generative machine learning to produce state-of-the-art downscaled future climate data sets that are available to the public at no cost. Downscaled climate data is necessary to understand the impacts of climate change on local wind and solar resources and energy demand. There are a multitude of existing downscaling methods, but they all have trade-offs in resolution, computational costs, and physical constraints in space and time. Sup3rCC represents a new field of generative machine learning methods that can produce physically realistic high-resolution data 40 times faster than traditional dynamical downscaling methods.

    Sup3rCC will change the way we study and plan future energy systems,” said Dan Bilello, director of the Strategic Energy Analysis Center at NREL. “The tool produces foundational climate data that can be plugged into energy system models and provide much-needed insights for decision makers who are responsible for keeping the lights on.”
    ...
    Sup3rCC learns physical characteristics of nature and the atmosphere by studying NREL’s historical high-resolution data sets, including the National Solar Radiation Database and the Wind Integration National Dataset Toolkit. The model then injects physically realistic small-scale information that it has learned from the data sets into the coarse future outputs from global climate models. As a result, Sup3rCC generates highly detailed temperature, humidity, wind speed, and solar irradiance data based on the latest state-of-the-art future climate projections. Sup3rCC outputs can then be used to study future renewable energy power generation, changes in energy demand, and impacts to power system operations. The initial Sup3rCC data set includes data from 2015 to 2059 for the contiguous United States, and additional data sets will be released in the coming years.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Fossil fuels account for over three-fourths of greenhouse gas emissions (IEA, 2021), fueling
    a climate crisis that is projected to devastate ecosystems and communities across the globe
    (IPCC, 2022; Rinawati et al., 2013). Fossil fuel production is already at a historic high,
    and is poised to continue growing (SEI and UNEP, 2021). Global fossil fuel production is
    known to have myriad adverse impacts on people and the environment (But et al., 2013).
    Many of the reserves targeted for extraction lie in highly sensitive ecological areas (Harfoot
    et al., 2018), with countless other upstream and midstream fossil fuel projects posing
    risks. In view of the extent of the adverse social, climate and ecological threats of fossil fuel
    production, we are promulgating a spatial mapping approach and accompanying openaccess web platform (www.fossilfuelatlas.org) for creating scientifcally grounded maps
    and other information-rich visuals that make transparent the threats posed by current
    and prospective fossil fuel production. In partnership, Stockholm Environment Institute
    (SEI), Global Energy Monitor (GEM) and the Institute for Governance and Sustainable
    Development (IGSD) are operationalizing this Geographic Information Systems (GIS)-
    based approach through a global open-access, on-line transparency platform, the Fossil
    Fuel Atlas, in collaboration with a growing community of stakeholders—including civil
    society organizations and decision-makers—who are addressing fossil fuel extraction at
    local to international scales.

    https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/fossil-fuel-atlas-global-brief.pdf
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam