Tak tu mame zase Lomborga...
Lomborg wrote in the Australian that a study “in the renowned journal” Nature, “shows that reducing emissions 95% by 2050 – almost Biden’s promise of net zero – would cost 11.9% of gross domestic product, or more than $US11,000 ($15,300) for each American citizen every year”.
That seems like an eye-watering figure, or in Lomborg’s words “spectacularly costly”.
The cited figure does appear in a supplementary section of the paper. But the authors of the study (which actually appeared in Nature Climate Change, not Nature) have told Temperature Check they have been asking Lomborg since early November to stop making that claim.
Prof David Victor, of University of California San Diego, said Lomborg’s summary “took the results out of context and used them for a purpose that we explicitly said they were not to be used, and which he was reminded of when he asked for the underlying data”.
The study used models to examine the methods and costs of reducing emissions through state-based policies compared with nationwide approaches.
But the authors say that as they model different levels of ambition, the dollar numbers produced by the model become less reliable.
They say that’s why the model’s outputs for beyond 80% were only placed in the supplementary section of the paper as a way to show the sensitivity of the modelling, rather than to deliver a genuine cost estimate.
Climate cost study authors accuse Bjørn Lomborg of misinterpreting results | Graham Readfearn | The Guardianhttps://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/02/climate-cost-study-authors-accuse-bjrn-lomborg-of-misinterpreting-results