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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / If the fracturing of our once stable climate doesn’t terrify you, then you don’t fully understand it


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    KAMAHL:

    July 2023 hottest month ever recorded on Earth | DW News
    https://youtu.be/mfBfy5U0t2Y
    KAMAHL
    KAMAHL --- ---
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Al Gore: What the fossil fuel industry doesn't want you to know | TED Talk
    https://www.ted.com/talks/al_gore_what_the_fossil_fuel_industry_doesn_t_want_you_to_know
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Ocean warming: The dramatic impact on the environment | DW News
    https://youtu.be/12hp4qIuGlQ
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Progress on slowing deforestation could boost climate efforts, say experts | Deforestation | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/07/progress-on-slowing-deforestation-could-boost-climate-efforts-say-experts-aoe
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ARAON:

    Winter heatwave in Andes is sign of things to come, scientists warn | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/06/winter-heatwave-andes-sign-things-come-scientists-warn
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Let’s tell the moodsplainers they’re wrong and then get back to work – Professor Jem Bendell
    https://jembendell.com/2023/08/05/lets-tell-the-moodsplainers-theyre-wrong-and-then-get-back-to-work/

    One of the chief ‘moodsplainers’ is the famous author Rebecca Solnit. When her ‘doom-shaming’ was challenged on her Facebook page, she defended her position with the claim that scientists tell her it’s not too late (presumably for our modern societies). She referenced the climatologist Michael Mann as evidence for her claim (see the screenshot). Known to be a prolific author, he was in good company when declaring in 2009 that if emissions did not peak by 2020 and consistently decline, then humanity would be in for the roughest of rides, in a situation where various feedbacks would likely amplify changes. As you may already know, emissions went up last year. But the 2023 version of Professor Mann appears to have forgotten his past assessment. Clearly, hope springs eternal. Especially if wishful thinking is a non-negotiable aspect of one’s identity, worldview and status. The suggestion by Solnit that all scientists agree must ignore the hundreds of scientists and scholars who have publicly disagreed that it is not too late to transition to a sustainable form of our current societies, including leading climatologists Professor Gesa Weyhenmeyer and Professor Will Steffen

    ...

    After my paper on climate change went viral in 2018, a big part of my next two years was talking with psychologists and reading the relevant psychology research. That got me invited to keynote at conferences of the psychology peak bodies around the world, and to publish in peer-reviewed psychology journals. I learned that research finds how so-called “catastrophic imaginaries” are powerful motivators whereas optimism can be demotivating on environmental issues. So when the new head of the IPCC, Jim Skea, tells the media that “we should not despair and fall into a state of shock” if global temperatures increase to 1.5C, it is likely he does not know what he is talking about, psychologically-speaking, and is simply expressing his own proclivities.

    ...

    You have probably seen some version of the illogical claim that “doomism breeds apathy and inactivism, and there are far too many doomers in Extinction Rebellion and other activist groups.” It wasn’t named the optimist’s incremental change rebellion, was it? Even XR’s critics have a better appreciation of activist motivations than the armchair anti-doomers. When trying to claim that such activism is a form of extremism that the British government should crack down on, guess who was the academic the Policy Exchange think tank cited the most for ideas motivating Extinction Rebellion? Yes, that’s me, the guy that GQ magazine called the “doomer-in-chief”. That was in an article that Facebook then filtered from view, like they have done with so much doomster content since 2020 – a global form of censorship and public manipulation I will discuss further in a moment.

    ...

    The ‘doomster way’ is naturally rebellious and radical. Which means we pose a threat to the establishment. Which is why they are responding with moodsplaining, telling us we should believe in the system – technology, enterprise, capital, charismatic leaders, and so on. That is how ‘stubborn optimism’ can become functional in ongoing oppression. The worst instance of this approach is when they pathologise the youth for having a more honest assessment of the situation. To believe that the experts and elites need to fix the emotions of young people by providing more positive stories seems to me to be an arrogant form of ‘experiential avoidance’ on the part of adults, and even a form of psychological child abuse. Instead, young people need us adults to grow up and meet them in a far more honest way. To hold the possibility that young people are closer to the truth than many adults, and explore what the options are from such an outlook.

    ...

    people in frontline communities have criticised the stories of a sustainability transition that are promoted in Western media to comfort their audiences. Kenya climate activist, scholar and agroforester Dr Nyambura Mbau argues “The millions of people being uprooted by climate change do not benefit from the ‘stubborn optimism’ of environmental elites. Instead, they will be better served by the stubborn realism of the experts and activists now brave enough to call for urgent degrowth in rich countries and fair adaptation everywhere.” Solnit’s claim is not unusual, with the same argument made to slur people like me over the last few years, even in publications like the New Internationalist (which then retracted and apologised). If people are busy thinking and communicating like white saviours, then they can overlook what is being said and done by the independent activists and scholars from across the Global South

    ...

    There is now a huge faction of capital that wants to limit the environmental agenda to promoting renewable energy, nuclear power, and electrical products like cars. There is also a huge professional sector ‘climate users’ who are driven to have a successful career with a green sheen. They are joined by a wider ‘sustainable development’ sectors of hundreds of thousands of professionals who are now compulsively lying to each other to ignore the data from the UN on what’s really happening.

    It is extremely worrying for democracy and good governance, globally, that the moodsplainers are now backed up by the censorship teams in the bigtech companies, who shadow ban content on climate that doesn’t align with the capitalist-friendly ecomodern view of the future. For years, their climate ‘factchecking’ outfits don’t even bother to reply to internationally renowned climatologists who criticise their shadow banning activities. Thus, the general public is left misinformed, less radical, and more compliant for incumbent power.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    KEB: mě jde spíš o amortizaci a o přepočet nákladů na 1 km. Víceméně jsme civilizace, kde si chudí lidé nejen mohou, ale přímo musí dovolit auto. Sportovní kola, která si lidé vozí na střechách aut (nebo v lepším případě vlakem) na rekreaci do lesů ve skutečnosti nemají extra vysokou životnost (jak zjistili experimentátoři s městskou cyklistikou). Potřebujeme co do robustnoti a odolnosti něco daleko víc podobného motorkám a mopedům...

    Takové ty triky s sharingem, kdy je kolo nabízeno jako služba, částečně řeší problém s těmi komponenty, které nějakouy životnost mají, ale ty ve skutečnosti tvoří zlomek nákladů. Ten sharing ve skutečnosti o tom, aby se zafinancoval servis a výměny "spotřebních" komponent...

    Asi to vypadá, že tady zbytečně spamuju, ale chci se dobrat k tomu, že zatímco podíl vzácných prvků v Li baterkách v mobilech a noteboocích jhe titěrný, v bateriích elektrokol už začíná být celkem zásadní a současně jsou to elektrokola (a ne elektromobily), které jediné mají potenciál způsobit skutečnou revoluci v městské a příměstské mobilitě (ale skoro všichni o tom rozpačitě mlčí, protože pro sportovce to není sport, ale invalidní vozík, pro motoristy to není dost nobl, pro městské politiky to není MHD, pro průmysl to není způsob, jak udržet industrializovanou společnost s továrnami na auta a jejich logistickým řetězcem, pro energetickou lobby je to nezajímavý odběr energie, který navíc hravě využije přebytky z FV, apod.)
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    KEB: ok 20k je asi moc, 15k plus je ale jistota
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    XCHAOS: hrubým odhadem můžu být se svým starým Olpran, který nezamykam a doufám, že ho někdo ukradne klidně na 20k i možná víc. A náklady by nestačily ani na nový kolo...
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    YMLADRIS: L1 je nestabilni, napriklad nejnovejsi sondy obihaji L2 400 000 km daleko (dal nez je Zeme Mesic, a tedy asi 25 % vzdalenosti ze Zeme do bodu).
    Okolo L1 obihaly/obihaji starsi mise 100 000 km (Discovr), 150 000 (Lisa Pathfinder), SoHO asi 200 000 km daleko.
    Kdyz by byla zaclona takto "vyosena", asi moc nezacloni, a no a v bodu necydrzi dlouho, protoze ji dojde palivo. Zjevne plati, ze cim dal, tim mene paliva/vykonu na manecry je treba
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    Jinak jsem měla ve feedu geoinzenyrsky paper na téma postavit strukturu v bodě L1 a částečně zastínit slunce. Ale nechce se mi to hledat, jen že se vymýšlí ruzný věci
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Extreme heat hits Iraq, as temperatures exceed 50 degrees Celsius | Climate News | Al Jazeera
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/8/4/extreme-heat-hits-iraq-as-temperatures-exceed-50-degrees-celsius
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: ad "predstava ze jsou materialni a nematerialni potreby je moje laicka intuice"

    "potreby" nemaji hranic ,) tam jde v nejaky idealizovany uvaze o to, co ma byt ten planetarni stredotridni standard, co umozni.

    ten "standard", ty "moznosti", kterymi se uspokojuji nejake potreby jsou zalozene v infrastrukturach, ktere musi byt k tomu provozovane. muzu studovat filosofii, staci mi k tomu celorocne prijemna mistnost, bezpecne prostredi (nejspis stat, mesto udrzujici hranice a poradek), stabilni dodavka jidla a piti, transportni system, sluzby ktere se postaraji o potreby rodiny, sluzby zdravotnictvi, internet, atp. atd. a pak taky to, ze v tu chvili nejsem k dispozici pro jine cinnosti, napr. recyklaci baterii do elektrokol :) ... a podobne je to se vsim, co se nabizi jako nejaka "levna", low-impact aktivita.

    v nejake popularni imaginaci (coz nerust urcite nedefinuje, ale nejake imaginace vzdycky maji ten mobilizujici ucinek na lidi - proc by to meli chtit) tak takovyhle vycet aktivit klidne muze platit, akorat je zradny v tom, ze je to tezce pohled zevnitr tech post-peak welfare statu, ktere hledaji co maji delat dal. tu infrastrukturu maji tyhle spolecnosti vybudovanou, ona nejak funguje, ale taky nefunguje samospadem do nekonecna, je potreba ji obnovovat, je potreba importovat lidi, energie a materialy z periferii, atd. z tohohle pohledu je pro me ten nerust nejaky vyjadreni toho mega trendu, kteryho tyhle spolecnosti jsou soucasti - neni velka nadeje zasadniho rustu zivotni urovne, bylo dosazeno nejakyho stropu a zaroven se dostavuji dusledky te "great acceleration" exploze.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    It's Time For Everyone to Stop Ignoring E-Bikes
    https://www.treehugger.com/stop-ignoring-ebikes-5324307
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    XCHAOS: ta recyklace je spis cekajici nez usla prilezitost ,) ale zasadni otazka pro ilustraci te energeticko-materialove nerovnosti je nejenom ten kobalt, ale treba i to proc se netezi med v nemecku (vic k tomu ve stejne rade tech DW dokumentu - TADEAS )
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: zkusim priblizit vic co mam na mysli.

    civilizace/logistika je ta dynamika budovani infrastruktur, podmanovani, tj. nejaka forma nadvlady, moci, konkretne te infrastrukturni moci. prumyslova civilizace tu dynamiku pan-otrok exportuje do konceptu stroje, tzn. vsichni si budeme rovni jakmile nam budou vsem slouzit stroje, vsichni budeme panove&pani, otroctvi zmizi. jenze se to zadnemu usporadani nepodarilo, jen se v tom strojove-infrastrukturnim ohledu zreprodukovaly ty nerovnosti a navic se zacaly masivne reprodukovat taky do bio-geo-systemu, protoze ta infrastruktura ktera mela tu nerovnost pohltit potrebuje energie a materialy.

    takze regionalne se to.nekde povest relativne mohlo, ale globalne/planetarne jiste ne.

    takze treba ekosystemove ja povazuju za uprimnejsi tu aristokratickou pozici moci - je to tak, protoze jsme to tak chteli, protoze jsme se tak rozhodli (motiv te vule k moci). proto mi ekosystemove dava smysl ten koncept cloveka-hyperpredatora (jako zastavane role), ktera brnka na to, ze clovek ma plne uplatnit tu svou ekosystemovou-regulacni moc, a.pokud chce nadale nejakou mit, bude muset vymyslet jak udelat nejaky alignment svych zajmu a praktik s moznostmi a strukturou toho sirsiho symbiotickyho spolecenstvi planety.
    JINDRICH
    JINDRICH --- ---
    XCHAOS: v plánu obnovy v usteckym kraji byl i nějaký projekt na recyklaci těchto prvků (jakoze snad destilaci v něčem jako vysoká pec) ale jak to dopadlo nevim.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    DZODZO: prosímtě, nejde o baterku jako takovou, ale o prvky, které obsahuje a které by se nemusely těžit v Africe, kdyby se recyklovaly...
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam