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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    2024 Securing the ‘great white shield’? Climate change, Arctic security and the geopolitics of solar geoengineering
    https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00108367241269629

    By systematically juxtaposing recently published schemes for Arctic geoengineering with Arctic security strategies published by the littoral Arctic states and China, we reveal and detail two conflicting security imaginaries. Geoengineering schemes scientifically securitise (and seek to maintain) the Arctic’s ‘great white shield’ to protect ‘global’ humanity against climate tipping points and invoke a past era of Arctic ‘exceptionality’ to suggest greater political feasibility for research interventions here. Meanwhile, state security imaginaries understand the contemporary Arctic as an increasingly contested region of considerable geopolitical peril and economic opportunity as temperatures rise. Alongside the entangled history of science with geopolitics in the region, this suggests that geoengineering schemes in the Arctic are unlikely to follow scientific visions, and unless co-opted into competitive, extractivist state security imaginaries, may prove entirely infeasible. Moreover, if the Arctic is the ‘best-case’ for geoengineering politics, this places a huge question mark over the feasibility of other, more global prospects
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    TADEAS: Zrovna jsem to chtěl sdílet. Jeden rok po dokončení a evaluace na 6 z 9 jako překročených.
    Ocean acidification close to critical threshold, say scientists, posing threat to marine ecosystems and global liveability

    Industrial civilisation is close to breaching a seventh planetary boundary, and may already have crossed it, according to scientists who have compiled the latest report on the state of the world’s life-support systems.

    “Ocean acidification is approaching a critical threshold”, particularly in higher-latitude regions, says the latest report on planetary boundaries. “The growing acidification poses an increasing threat to marine ecosystems.”

    At a briefing outlining the findings, Levke Caesar, a climate physicist at PIK and co-author of the report, said there were two reasons the levels of ocean acidification were concerning.

    “One is [that] the indicator for ocean acidification, which is the current aragonite separation state, while still being in the safe operating space, is approaching the threshold of transgressing the safe boundary,” Caesar said.

    “The second is that there are actually several new studies that were published over the last years that indicate that even these current conditions may already be problematic for a variety of marine organisms, suggesting a need [to] re-evaluate which levels can actually be called safe.”

    Ocean acidification was getting worse globally, with the effects most pronounced in the Southern Ocean and the Arctic Ocean, she added.
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: Nemám teď nějaký přesný článek/studii, už je to nějaká doba co jsem o tom četl -
    Metal mobilization from thawing permafrost to aquatic ecosystems is driving rusting of Arctic streams | Communications Earth & Environment
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01446-z
    ‘Mercury bomb’ threatens millions as Arctic temperatures rise
    https://dornsife.usc.edu/news/stories/arctic-mercury-assessment-josh-west/
    Melting Arctic Permafrost Could Release Tons of Toxic Mercury
    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/melting-arctic-permafrost-toxic-mercury-environment
    'Significant' amounts of mercury in permafrost threatens Arctic food supply, research says | CBC News
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/permafrost-mercury-arctic-ocean-1.6475185
    Metals released from thawing permafrost are rusting Arctic streams (U.S. National Park Service)
    https://www.nps.gov/articles/000/metal-from-thawing-permafrost-rusting-streams.htm
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: Třeba to za zkoušku stojí, má-li to význam z hlediska energie a infrastruktury (čímž bych i narážel na dostupnost fosilních paliv ať už pro vybudování/transport, nebo samotnou produkci syntetických hnojiv aj.), kratším obdobím růstu. Faktem, že se permafrost nachází hlavně v oblastech jako je Russkiy mir, Kanada, nebo USA (tj. geopolitický faktor - budeme mít jako EU dobré vztahy apod.).

    Jinak nejde jen o neúrodnost, ale pokud se nepletu je ta půda plná toxických těžkých kovů (např. rtuti) a taktéž je zde riziko virů. Nicméně hlavním faktorem permafrostu je to ohromné množství sklenníkových plynů uložených v něm.

    Samotné tání bude trvat dost dlouho (tedy, snad?) a ta půda bude neustále v pohybu, včetně explozí a následných metanových kráterů. No, není to zrovna přívětivé prostředí pro zemědělství ať se na to podíváme jakkoliv.

    A posledně k tomuto tématu, vůbec nevíme jaké čekat teplotní výkyvy, srážky,.. no to je spjaté se zmíněným prouděním v bodech, které TUHO sdílel.
    As a consequence of global warming and human-induced climate
    change, the thawing of permafrost not only contributes to global
    greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and warming, but also poses
    substantial risks to both local ecosystems and human communities in
    affected regions

    Considering the cold winters and short, cool summers, the presence
    of permafrost affects the availability of arable land and the growing
    season for crops, making agriculture challenging. While climatedriven northward expansion of agriculture increasingly provides
    new food sources, little is known about the effectiveness, feasibility
    and risks in cultivation-permafrost interactions.

    Thawing permafrost also releases contaminants, including
    mercury, into the environment. This negatively
    impacts water quality in Arctic rivers and lakes, leading to potential
    risks to human health through contaminated food chains and drinking
    water sources.

    Beyond its ecological consequences, permafrost thaw has significant
    implications for the infrastructure built on permafrost soil. As the
    ground becomes unstable, buildings, roads, pipelines, water facilities,
    and communication systems are damaged and hazardous substances mobilised

    Up to 80 per cent of infrastructure elements
    show substantial infrastructure damage and 70 per cent of current
    infrastructure in the permafrost domain is in areas with high potential
    for thaw by 2050
    https://global-tipping-points.org/

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tridilna serie. Cely zajmavy

    From Dissipating Clouds to Record-Setting Areas of Drought, the State of the Climate in 2023 Was Shockingly Severe | Discover Magazine
    https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/from-dissipating-clouds-to-record-setting-areas-of-drought-the-state-of-the

    Here in Part 3 of the series, I look at some of the other impacts, starting with one that took me surprise: In addition to being the warmest year, 2023 was also the least cloudy ever observed globally in records dating back four decades. Some areas saw particularly steep declines in cloudiness, including the Indian Ocean, the Arctic, and Northern Hemisphere.

    The global average for cloud cover in 2023 was the lowest ever recorded.
    ...
    In 2023, the report concludes that clouds reflected away to space the smallest amount of energy from the Sun ever observed. That meant more solar energy reached the surface to cause warming. But at the same time, clouds blocked the least amount of heat energy from escaping to space from the surface.

    Teasing out the net effect from changes in cloudiness is complicated, because different kinds of clouds have different impacts. With that caveat in mind, the report concludes that the overall impact "was the weakest cooling effect of clouds on record." And this, in turn, reinforced 2023's shocking warmth.
    ...
    In fact, the amount of precipitation that fell during the year was one of the lowest in records going back to 1979. At the same time, the intensity of rain that did fall increased, which can contribute to damaging deluges.

    As the report points out, this is just what scientists have long expected with a warming climate.
    ...
    Emissions of CO2 by the most advanced economies of the world have peaked and are dropping — even as economic growth continues. They're accomplishing this through efforts to use energy more efficiently, along with a massive ramp-up in renewables. And this points the way forward toward a day when we may finally tame the climate crisis.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tipping point reached. Z cyklu #doomed

    Surging Methane Emissions Could Be a Sign of a Major Climate Shift - Inside Climate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/28082024/surging-methane-emissions-major-climate-shift/

    A 2021 pledge by more than 100 nations to cut methane emissions from anthropogenic sources 30 percent by 2030 might not slow global warming as much as projected, as new research shows that feedbacks in the climate system are boosting methane emissions from natural sources, especially tropical wetlands.

    A new trouble spot is in the Arctic, where scientists recently found unexpectedly large methane emissions in winter. And globally, the increase in water vapor caused by global warming is slowing the rate at which methane breaks down in the atmosphere. If those feedbacks intensify, scientists said, it could outpace efforts to cut methane from fossil fuel and other human sources.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Ale safra, tohle je zajimavy taky, ale chtel jsem poslat toto:

    The plan, called Project Iceworm, was ostensibly top secret, though an article published in Popular Science in the early 1960s disclosed the military's intention to build a "subway under the ice" that would shuttle as many as 600 ballistic missiles through a network of tunnels, making them less vulnerable to a Soviet first strike.

    In 1959, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers began building a military base, Camp Century, buried 150 feet below the surface of the Greenland ice cap. The base had chemistry labs, hot showers, a chapel, a movie theater and as many as 200 inhabitants who lived there year-round. The nuclear missiles were never deployed, but the entire base was powered by a portable nuclear reactor.

    Part of the Army's interest in Camp Century, in addition to hiding nuclear missiles, was to study the feasibility of living and traveling in extreme environments in the event of conflict with the Soviet Union in the far north. By the 1950s, the military had documented the retreat of arctic sea ice. If the ice were to melt, the military needed to know how that would affect its ability to defend against a Soviet attack over the arctic circle.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    počasí

    ‘It’s devastating’: summer in Canada’s Arctic region brings severe heatwaves | Canada | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/08/canada-arctic-region-heat-wave
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    TUHO: každopádně teď v létě ten průměr na rekord vytáhla zima na jižní polokouli

    Climate Reanalyzer
    https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=sh

    Severní polokoule na tom není tak hrozně jako loni a Arktida se dokonce vrátila blíž k dlouhodobému průměru.
    Climate Reanalyzer
    https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=arctic
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---


    Copernicus: Large wildfires return to the Arctic Circle in June 2024 | Copernicus
    https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/copernicus-large-wildfires-return-arctic-circle-june-2024
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    mohlo by nekoho zajimat...

    The Energy of Russia
    Hydrocarbon Culture and Climate Change

    This timely book analyses the status of hydrocarbon energy in Russia as both a saleable commodity and as a source of societal and political power. Through empirical studies in domestic and foreign policy contexts, Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen explores the development of a hydrocarbon culture in Russia and the impact this has on its politics, identity and approach to climate change and renewable energy.

    Cogent and compelling, this book demonstrates how the Russian state leverages its oil and gas reserves in order to create and maintain power both domestically and internationally. Tynkkynen uses empirical studies of key topics such as the national gas programme Gazprom, the Arctic, climate discourse and anthropogenic climate change denial, and the Russia-Finland energy trade to critically examine the situation. The book concludes with a convincing argument for the potential of renewable energy to build a more resilient and sustainable future for Russia and how this might be achieved.

    This will prove crucial reading for scholars and students of Russian and Eastern European studies and energy and environmental studies, as well as geographers, anthropologists and political scientists. Those working in governments, international organizations and corporations with an interest in Russian energy will also find its insights useful.

    The Energy of Russia
    https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/the-energy-of-russia-9781788978590.html
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    E Jacobson
    https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1773333115735261303?s=20

    For all those anticipating a "Blue Ocean Event" with its accompanying global f&%kery, this excellent video by. @PaulHBeckwith explains recent research showing a slowing AMOC may delay the big event

    How AMOC Slowdown over Recent Decades has Likely Prevented an Arctic Blue-Ocean Event from Happening
    https://youtu.be/nxxaqjzuRPQ?si=KBqZ1hda53KLtW91
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination
    EUGENE RUMER, RICHARD SOKOLSKY, PAUL STRONSKI
    Summary: Russia has big Arctic plans, but how they will be realized is uncertain. For the United States this will likely mean the return to a Cold War–like environment rather than a new chapter in great-power competition in the Arctic.

    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/29/russia-in-arctic-critical-examination-pub-84181
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    How Russia is leveraging its Arctic region for global influence

    For the past decade, while the rest of us weren’t looking, Russia has invested seriously in its Arctic region. Now, some 20% of the country’s GDP and 30% of its exports come from these chilly lands. Climate change has softened the landscape where critical oil and gas reserves were stuck underground, while melting ice caps have allowed tanker ships to transport that fuel across Eurasia.

    It’s a fascinating trend that’s set to get more critical in the coming decades. To learn more, we spoke with Malte Humpert, senior fellow and founder of the Arctic Institute. Our interview transcript was lightly condensed and edited for clarity.

    FREIGHTWAVES: Just to get started, who or what entities or companies or countries are currently shipping through the Arctic Ocean?

    https://www.freightwaves.com/news/stronghow-russia-is-leveraging-its-arctic-region-for-global-influencestrong
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Zajimavej report na geopoliticky implikace tajici Arktidy...

    Climate change is already affecting geopolitics, and countries are adapting their geopolitical strategies to take account of anticipated future climate change. Russia is leading in this regard, explicitly integrating climate change forecasts into its economic and national security strategies. Vladimir Putin has signaled that he sees the Arctic as an essential resource base and military stronghold for Russia in the decades ahead. Putin also seems to believe that unexploited hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic will be crucial for Russia’s economic future post-Ukraine. Scientists and industry participants are skeptical that this plan will succeed, but the exit of Western firms has removed pressure on Russian policymakers and firms to guard against Arctic environmental risks. Russian activity is increasing the probability of Arctic environmental disasters in the years ahead, including oil spills and radiological leakage.

    The United States and its Arctic allies and partners cannot ignore Russia’s actions. As the war in Ukraine still rages, a future military confrontation between Russia and NATO in the Arctic cannot be ruled out. NATO faces the challenge of how to strengthen its defense structures and increase the frequency and scope of Arctic exercises without risking misperceptions and accidents that lead to conflict with Russia. Moscow’s diplomatic isolation and economic weakness may also force it to grant China a greater role in the development of the Northern Sea Route.



    The Geopolitics of Climate Change: Scenarios and Pathways for Arctic 2050 | Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/geopolitics-climate-change-scenarios-and-pathways-arctic-2050
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Weather Whiplashing and Jetstream Waviness
    https://youtu.be/RS_0GNk_CfE?si=pAEyL8ImmySD5UrI



    The Climate Emergency Forum welcomes Dr. Jennifer Francis to discuss two of her recent papers on Weather Whiplashing, which is defined as an abrupt shift from one persistent set of often extreme weather conditions to another.

    This video was recorded on February 27th, 2024, and published on March 10th, 2024.

    Dr. Francis introduces the concept of weather whiplashing and provides examples like sudden temperature drops and shifts from drought to heavy rain, highlighting the impact of these events on regions like Florida and California. Dr. Francis explains how weather whiplash events are diagnosed by analyzing patterns in the jet stream using self-organizing maps, emphasizing the role of the Arctic's warming in increasing the frequency of these events.

    The dialogue delves into the intricate relationship between atmospheric patterns, jet stream dynamics, and weather phenomena. Dr. Francis illustrates how anomalies in the upper-level atmosphere can lead to significant shifts in weather patterns, affecting regions like Florida with freeze events and temperature extremes. She discusses the use of AI tools to analyze atmospheric patterns over time and predict future trends in weather whiplash events, particularly focusing on scenarios where the Arctic's warming plays a crucial role in driving these shifts.

    Participants engage in a thought-provoking discussion on the complexities of jet stream behavior, climate factors influencing atmospheric dynamics, and implications for global weather patterns. Questions raised by participants highlight key aspects such as variations in jet stream configurations, heat transfer between equator and poles, and the impact of Arctic warming on jet stream speed and waviness.

    Dr. Francis addresses inquiries about ocean currents' correlation with jet stream patterns and explains how subtleties in jet streams affect phenomena like record low transit times for airplanes flying across continents. The dialogue underscores the interdisciplinary nature of climate research and the interconnectedness of various environmental factors shaping our planet's weather systems.


    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022JD036717
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    BOE soon


    Ice-free summers in Arctic possible within next decade, scientists say | Arctic | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/05/ice-free-summers-in-arctic-possible-within-next-decade-scientists-say

    The Arctic could have summer days with practically no sea ice within the next decade due to emissions from burning fossil fuels, a study has found.

    This would transform the unique habitat, home to polar bears, seals and walruses, from a “white Arctic” to a “blue Arctic” during the summer months, scientists said. The calculation used for “ice free” means less than 1m sq km, in which case the Arctic would be mostly water.



    Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-023-00515-9

    In the September monthly mean, the earliest ice-free conditions (the first single occurrence of an ice-free Arctic) could occur in 2020–2030s under all emission trajectories and are likely to occur by 2050. However, daily September ice-free conditions are expected approximately 4 years earlier on average, with the possibility of preceding monthly metrics by 10 years.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    If Americans elect Biden, the United States could very likely reach the emissions targets outlined in the Paris Agreement. If Trump is elected, the country is likely to emit 50% more greenhouse gasses by 2030, a difference of more than a billion tons of emissions per year, according to projections released by Carbon Brief this week.

    ...

    Trump leased 2.4 million acres for oil and gas production. By comparison, Biden’s administration leased 324,000 acres in its first two years. In other words, Trump leased 7 times more land to oil and gas companies than Biden.

    When Biden took office, he killed the Keystone XL project and blocked drilling permits in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.

    In his first term, Joe Biden has done more to address climate change than any President before him. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) alone is expected to wipe out 21 billion tons of planet-warming pollution between now and 2050.

    "Four years ago, if Biden had promised to do everything that he’s done during his first term, most pundits would have laughed him out of the room. Even after winning the 2020 election, passing any climate policy seemed unlikely. The Senate was split 50-50 and Joe Manchin—a literal coal baron—was the swing vote.

    Yet, the last four years unfolded in completely unexpected ways.

    For decades, environmental advocates have tried to convince lawmakers to pass even the most marginal climate policies. And they’ve failed. It wasn’t until Biden took office that the logjam broke and the climate policies flowed. Since then, America has experienced remarkable progress."

    What Americans Need to Hear About Biden's Climate Record
    https://www.distilled.earth/p/what-americans-need-to-hear-about

    --

    skoda ze si zvoli trumpa
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    TADEAS: collapse of AMOC a collapse of ice cover in the Arctic/methane release jde trochu proti sobe, ne?
    vychzim z toho, ze AMOC distribuuje teplo z tropu do vyssich zem. sirek
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam