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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Island Futures
    https://www.islandfutures.earth/

    ISLANDS FOR THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY is a non-partisan collaborative think tank. We develop resilience options to help ensure island nations can weather the impact of global catastrophes.

    Our work includes evidence-based research reports, empirical studies, and events promoting approaches to mitigate risks such as nuclear war or extreme pandemics.

    We curate evidence, coordinate catastrophe research, and create engaging online and in-person gatherings. We act to inform and assist communities, central government, and essential services, in achieving societal resilience to global catastrophes.

    We are starting in New Zealand but hope all islands can learn from our work.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    z obecnejsi duskuze o politice asset managementu


    There was a phenomenon where in the five or six years after the Paris climate agreement, which was in 2015-2016, there was significant hope amongst large parts of the population and the professional classes that governments were getting serious about climate. The belief was that they were going to take measures, whether that's significant carbon taxes or whatever else it might be, that would really entail a shift away from fossil fuel capitalism.

    I think that what's happened over the last three or four years in particular is that the realization has kind of dawned—and people don't want to say it explicitly, but I think people are sort of implicitly seeing it—that it's not happening and that the governments are actually not serious about taking the types of actions that are necessary to keep temperatures at two degrees, two and a half degrees. You know, forget 1.5 degrees—governments aren't serious about keeping temperatures to two and a half degrees. I mean, of course they're not going to say that, but no, I don't think they're remotely serious about it.

    I was in Norway recently, and in May 2021, the International Energy Agency came out with this really, I think, incredibly significant report which they called "Net Zero by 2050." They basically said, look, for the energy sector, which is obviously the very heart of the climate problem, to be able to be net zero—not actual zero, net zero—by 2050, this is the kind of path it has to take over the next 29 years, whatever it was (it was 2021, so the next 21 years). And basically, for that to be possible, there can be no new approvals of oil and gas field developments and no new approvals of coal mines anywhere in the world from this day forward—none, zero—to have any chance of hitting net zero by 2050.

    And so, as I said, I was in Norway a few weeks ago. Over 160 approvals of new oil and gas field development licenses have been approved just in Norway since May 2021. So no, the governments aren't remotely serious. Oil and gas field development licenses have been showered like confetti around the world since then, and so I think the investment world looks at what governments are doing and they say, "Governments, which have to be the ones that take the lead, are not serious about this, so why should we be serious about this? If governments are not taking the types of actions that will make fossil fuel investments less profitable and green capitalism much more profitable, why would we bother with ESG?"

    Woke Capitalism Just COLLAPSED. Here’s Why. | Aaron Bastani Meets Brett Christophers
    https://youtu.be/W98jFzvl7q4?si=z-IvmiNHhTV3cSML
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Fury as US argues against climate obligations at top UN court | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/04/us-climate-crisis-legal-court

    Australia, China and Saudi Arabia – major fossil fuel economies and among the world’s worst greenhouse gas emitters – also argued against legal accountability that developing nations are pushing for.

    After years of campaigning by vulnerable nations and the global climate justice movement, the UN asked the ICJ to provide an advisory opinion on what obligations states have to tackle climate change and what the legal consequences could be if they fail to do so. More than 100 countries and organisations are testifying over the course of two weeks, and many hope the hearings will elevate science to the forefront, ensuring international law reflects the realities of climate breakdown and the urgent need for transformative action
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    I’m a climate and water scientist. For more than 40 years, I’ve worked on trying to understand and communicate the complex climate threats facing the planet. In general, I’ve always been an optimist: I believe that we can solve these challenges. But I also have to acknowledge both my growing worry that I’m wrong, and the remaining steep obstacles in our path now made steeper by the recent U.S. election and the persistent failures of the world’s nations to commit to actions to adequately tackle the problem.
    The scientific facts of climate change and the role that humans play in driving those changes are irrefutable and have been understood and tested for literally decades—some of the earliest warnings about the adverse effects of burning fossil fuels on the climate and the planet were actually made more than 150 years ago.

    I’m a Climate Scientist. I Refuse to Give Up Hope | TIME
    https://time.com/7178677/climate-scientist-optimist-refuse-to-give-up-hope/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    old news. a navic guardian a jak rika nejbohatsi osoba na svete "guardian of what?"

    US election 2024 live: Donald Trump defeats Kamala Harris to win historic second term as president | US elections 2024 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/nov/06/us-presidential-election-2024-donald-trump-kamala-harris-latest-news-updates?page=with:block-672b59298f08243590db2aee#block-672b59298f08243590db2aee

    An election that barely mentioned climate could end up being the most consequential for the planet in modern history. Donald Trump is expected to pull the US out of the Paris agreement, joining just three other countries, Iran, Libya and Yemen.

    He is also expected to cancel many of Biden’s climate policies and, as he said, “drill, baby, drill”, turbocharging oil and gas production.

    This will have dire consequences. CarbonBrief has estimated this will cause an additional 4bn tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO2e) by 2030 emitted from the US. This would negate twice over all of the savings from deploying wind, solar and other clean technologies around the world over the past five years.

    Experts believe a second Trump presidency would end all hope of keeping global warming below 1.5C, the limit agreed by scientists which would avoid the worst impacts of climate breakdown. These include extreme, deadly weather events which can wipe out populations and cause mass deaths, as well as temperatures rising to make some parts of the world uninhabitable, as well as climate related severe disruptions to the food supply as fertile lands become desert.

    It also has global impacts; when right wing parties falsely claim that lowering emissions and switching to a green economy is expensive, and the US is not participating in this effort, they can plausibly ask why other countries are doing that. This is likely to happen in the UK, where politicians are already falsely claiming the Labour government’s green policies will drive up energy bills and cause rationing
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    hope never dies ,)

    Johan Rockström | Why we can still achieve an "Earth for All" - and fast
    https://youtu.be/E2TzqH5gBXA?si=91lA9M3sbMHpHNyI
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    CHOSIE: cteme stejne, ale evidentne si vykladame autorovy cile sdeleni jinak.

    Electric vehicles (EVs) tap into this mentality,
    making them seem like an effective way for each of us to personally address climate change.

    - ale on to je effective way, jen nedosahujeme dostatecne rychlosti a skaly

    EVs are a clever marketing ploy that seems logical on the surface but lacks real substance.

    - woot?

    Fixating on
    EVs doesn’t change the larger transportation picture, which includes trucks, trains, and ships.

    - doporucuji autorovi nastudovat definici electric vehicle

    Looking closer, most of the growth in industrial oil use is tied to plastics and chemical feedstocks. That’s a major red flag.

    - tak zapomeneme na EVs, protoze jde o marketingovou zalezitost a protoze tezbu ropy drivuji i jine faktory? Kdyz ma pan tak rad cisla a zveda red flagy, jak vyroba plastu prispiva k emisim sklenikovych plynu? Vice, nebo mene nez ev?

    These products aren’t just a
    climate issue—they’re causing significant health problems for humans and animals alike. We’re talking about plastics, pesticides, and endocrine-disrupting
    microplastics that are already wreaking havoc well beyond the realm of climate change.

    - Takze ted uz nejde jen o klima, zapomeneme na 8% a zatahnem do toho i roztomily nekvantifikovany a neurcity zviratka? Jablka/hrusky/cisla/fakta/emoce

    The only real solution to our environmental crises—climate change being just one part—is a dramatic reduction in energy consumption.
    No amount of renewables or technological innovation will get around this hard truth: we have to use far less energy, period.

    But let’s be honest—that’s not going to happen voluntarily, any more than we’ll triple renewables and double efficiency in the next five years.

    - Kdo rika, ze bude civilizace net zero za 5 let? Znamena to, ze se nemame snazit o co nejvyssi rychlost transformace, prostredky jako EVs a Renewable energy? Protoze to z textu tak nastinuje. Ale jinak castecne souhlasim, nemeli bychom energii pouzivat neefektivne.

    Despite clear evidence that global decarbonization is failing, we’re repeatedly told that using more renewables and buying more EVs is the answer.
    That’s a cynical delusion, completely unsupported by the data.

    - woot? Unsupported by data? Absolutne mozna, ale ze tu mame paralelni rust spotreby a nejsme schopni vyrabet vic, je spis impulzem, ze bychom meli pridat a ne to vzdat?

    All it really does is funnel more public money into the hands of the same corporations
    that have been exploiting consumers for decades, all while creating the illusion of progress.

    - woot? Illusion of progress? V EV, bateriich a renewables jsme se nikam technologicky neposunuli za poslednich 10 let?

    This kind of optimism provides little more than false hope, downplaying the serious, complex challenge of truly cutting carbon emissions.

    - a to je dle pana jak? Jak uvadel, sam vi, ze civilozace se nezastavi. Nikdo zejtra veskerej proud, ani olej nevypne.

    Electric vehicles and renewable
    energy are a distraction from the hard realities we face.

    - tak urcite :))
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Electric Vehicles and Renewables: Misleading Solutions to a Deeper Climate Crisis
    ____________________________

    Cars dominate our energy mindset just like gasoline prices are the main way we understand energy costs. Electric vehicles (EVs) tap into this mentality,
    making them seem like an effective way for each of us to personally address climate change.
    ____________________________

    EVs are a clever marketing ploy that seems logical on the surface but lacks real substance. The reality is that passenger cars contribute only about 8 %
    of global emissions—a relatively small part of the bigger problem that is being overlooked.
    ____________________________

    // What about yesterday’s announcement from the International Energy Agency (IEA) claiming that renewables can get us two-thirds of the way to
    meeting Paris climate targets by 2030, and cut global emissions by 10 billion tonnes by the decade’s end?

    It sounds impressive, but here’s the catch: it demands ‘tripling renewables and doubling efficiency targets’ in just five years. That’s an incredibly
    unrealistic goal, and arguably disingenuous. Even the IEA admits it’s a steep climb, and reaching those objectives is far from guaranteed.
    ____________________________

    Isn’t it true that EV sales have tripled since 2020? Sure, that’s accurate, but it’s misleading. New car sales are just a tiny slice of the total vehicle fleet.
    In 2023, nearly 14 million electric cars hit the roads, bringing the global total to 40 million. But 40 million is only 2.8 % of all passenger cars. By 2025,
    they’ll make up just 4% of global light vehicles, and only 7% by 2030.
    ____________________________

    Yes, wind and solar are expanding rapidly, but here’s the problem: they aren’t cutting fossil fuel use. They’re simply being layered on top of it. The growth
    in renewables isn’t displacing fossil fuels—it’s just adding to the overall energy mix.

    Unfortunately, these energy sources mostly contribute to electricity, which is only about 20% of total energy consumption. Meanwhile, coal, natural gas,
    and oil aren’t going away—they’re still growing. Natural gas will rise by 0.8% per year, oil by 0.5%, and coal by 0.4%.

    When we focus on oil consumption, the problem becomes even clearer. Global oil end use is projected to grow 0.7% annually through 2035. Fixating on
    EVs doesn’t change the larger transportation picture, which includes trucks, trains, and ships. Nor does it address the industrial sector’s energy demands.
    In fact, industrial oil use will grow at twice the rate of transportation over the next decade, and that’s where the real challenge lies.
    ____________________________

    Looking closer, most of the growth in industrial oil use is tied to plastics and chemical feedstocks. That’s a major red flag. These products aren’t just a
    climate issue—they’re causing significant health problems for humans and animals alike. We’re talking about plastics, pesticides, and endocrine-disrupting
    microplastics that are already wreaking havoc well beyond the realm of climate change.

    In reality, they’re (renewable energy, EVs) more about corporations adapting to a shifting landscape and finding new ways to make money. The climate
    angle is secondary to the business opportunities these technologies present.
    ____________________________

    The only real solution to our environmental crises—climate change being just one part—is a dramatic reduction in energy consumption.
    No amount of renewables or technological innovation will get around this hard truth: we have to use far less energy, period.

    But let’s be honest—that’s not going to happen voluntarily, any more than we’ll triple renewables and double efficiency in the next five years.
    Our growth-obsessed society simply can’t make the hard choices or accept the drop in living standards necessary for a much lower-energy
    or renewable-based economy.

    Despite clear evidence that global decarbonization is failing, we’re repeatedly told that using more renewables and buying more EVs is the answer.
    That’s a cynical delusion, completely unsupported by the data. All it really does is funnel more public money into the hands of the same corporations
    that have been exploiting consumers for decades, all while creating the illusion of progress.

    This kind of optimism provides little more than false hope, downplaying the serious, complex challenge of truly cutting carbon emissions. Instead of
    pretending we’re nearing some IEA-style “mission accomplished,” we should be bracing for the impending crisis. Electric vehicles and renewable
    energy are a distraction from the hard realities we face.

    Electric Vehicles and Renewables: Misleading Solutions to a Deeper Climate Crisis | Art Berman
    https://www.artberman.com/blog/electric-vehicles-and-renewables-misleading-solutions-to-a-deeper-climate-crisis/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    In a world first, Grenada activates debt pause after Hurricane Beryl
    https://www.climatechangenews.com/2024/08/21/in-a-world-first-grenada-activates-debt-pause-after-hurricane-beryl-destruction/

    unlike in 2004, officials this time could deploy a tool that has been widely discussed in climate circles to provide financial help in the wake of fierce storms: hurricane clauses built into its agreements with international creditors.

    Grenada last week became the first country in the world to use such a provision in a government bond which will allow it to postpone debt repayments to private investors, including US investment firms Franklin Templeton and T. Rowe Price.



    Caribbean islands hope UN court will end ‘debt cycle’ caused by climate crisis | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/aug/25/caribbean-islands-hope-un-court-will-end-debt-cycle-caused-by-climate-crisis
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS:

    George Monbiot
    @GeorgeMonbiot
    To all the people saying "they should have locked the Just Stop Oil protesters up for longer", enjoy your weekend.
    But please remember that you wouldn't have a weekend, or any other fundamental right, were it not for protesters who were reviled by people like you.¨
    If we are to have the right to a habitable planet, which I hope your descendants will take for granted just as you take your rights to vote, to speak freely and to weekends for granted, it will not happen without the protests you hate so much.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #Hope

    Petrol Sales In Norway Drop 8% Year Over Year - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2024/06/22/petrol-sales-in-norway-drop-8-year-over-year/

    ...fresh news from Norway showed that sales of petrol dropped a whopping 8% year over year in May. That’s a big drop in sales when you consider how little the fleet of vehicles on the road is expected to change from one year to the next. Kudos to Norway! Of course, this wasn’t achieved just from the new electric cars sold in the past year, but also from how many EVs have been sold in recent years, leading to more and more petrol-powered cars getting to the ends of their lives over time if not immediately.
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    TADEAS: kdyby jenom

    Brazil counts cost of worst-ever floods with little hope of waters receding soon | Brazil | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/19/brazil-floods-toll
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global Warming Acceleration: Hope vs Hopium
    https://mailchi.mp/caa/global-warming-acceleration-hope-vs-hopium

    Accumulating evidence supports the interpretation in our Pipeline paper: decreasing human-made aerosols increased Earth’s energy imbalance and accelerated global warming in the past decade. Climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing, physically independent quantities, were tied together by United Nations IPCC climate assessments that rely excessively on global climate models (GCMs) and fail to measure climate forcing by aerosols. IPCC’s best estimates for climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing both understate reality. Preservation of global shorelines and global climate patterns – the world humanity is adapted to – likely will require at least partly reversing global warming. Required actions and time scale are undefined. A bright future for today’s young people is still possible, but its attainment is hampered by precatory (wishful thinking) policies that do not realistically account for global energy needs and aspirations of nations with emerging economies. An alternative is needed to the GCM-dominated perspective on climate science. We will bear a heavy burden if we stand silent or meek as the world continues on its present course.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Ghosh included Cop27, which begins on 6 November in Egypt, in this damning assessment. “Cop27 will be just another talking shop. Greta Thunberg got it right when she called it ‘blah blah blah’. For those of us who have been watching negotiations for years, that has always been clear – but it came as a shock to her. One hope is that young people create a cultural change, and quickly.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    I was so interested by what was going on in Dimbamgombe (Africa Centre for Holistic Management) in Zimbabwe at the end of 2023 before the rain on this place, so I kept this @Sarah Savory's photo in mind and this idea that it gives so much hope to see the water cycle going on after 7 months of dry.

    FB-IMG-1710963436254
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TADEAS: realclimate se k tomu taky rozepsali:

    RealClimate: New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
    https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2024/02/new-study-suggests-the-atlantic-overturning-circulation-amoc-is-on-tipping-course/

    The new study by van Westen et al. is a major advance in AMOC stability science, coming from what I consider the world’s leading research hub for AMOC stability studies, in Utrecht/Holland.
    ...
    The paper results from a major computational effort, based on running a state-of-the-art climate model (the CESM model with horizontal resolution 1° for the ocean/sea ice and 2° for the atmosphere/land component) for 4,400 model years. This took 6 months to run on 1,024 cores at the Dutch national supercomputing facility, the largest system in the Netherlands in terms of high-performance computing.
    ...
    Now this tipping point has been demonstrated for the first time in a state-of-the-art global coupled climate model, crushing the hope that with more model detail and resolution some feedback might prevent an AMOC collapse.
    ...
    “their estimate of the tipping point (2025 to 2095, 95% confidence level) could be accurate.”
    ...
    Most models even have the wrong sign of this important diagnostic, which determines whether the feedback on Atlantic salinity is stabilising or destabilising, and this model bias is a key reason why in my view the IPCC has so far underestimated the risk of an AMOC collapse by relying on these biased climate models.
    ...
    They show how particularly northern Europe from Britain to Scandinavia would suffer devastating impacts, such as a cooling of winter temperatures by between 10 °C and 30 °C occurring within a century, leading to a completely different climate within a decade or two, in line with paleoclimatic evidence about abrupt ocean circulation changes.
    ...
    Given the impacts, the risk of an AMOC collapse is something to be avoided at all cost. As I’ve said before: the issue is not whether we’re sure this is going to happen. The issue is that we need to rule this out at 99.9 % probability. Once we have a definite warning signal it will be too late to do anything about it, given the inertia in the system.
    ...
    ...
    In the reactions to the paper, I see some misunderstand this as an unrealistic model scenario for the future. It is not. This type of experiment is not a future projection at all, but rather done to trace the equilibrium stability curve (that’s the quasi-equlibrium approach mentioned above). In order to trace the equlibrium response, the freshwater input must be ramped up extremely slowly, which is why this experiment uses so much computer time. After the model’s tipping point was found in this way, it was used to identify precursors that could warn us before reaching the tipping point, so-called “early warning signals”. Then, the scientists turned to reanalysis data (observations-based products, shown in Fig. 6 of the paper) to check for an early warning signal. The headline conclusion that the AMOC is „on tipping course“ is based on these data.

    In other words: it’s observational data from the South Atlantic which suggest the AMOC is on tipping course. Not the model simulation, which is just there to get a better understanding of which early warning signals work, and why.
    INK_FLO
    INK_FLO --- ---
    "I am convinced that we can break out of our partitioned narratives, that we can look at and listen to and learn from our doubles, even the ones we most reject. It may be our only hope."
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    It's not often that science can bring you to tears but when we are talking about the West Antarctic the science is genuinely scary and in the face of scary things we need courage. Not hope. So it's time to be brave. Come with me and find out why we have to be grown ups about West Antarctic climate change sometimes.

    We can’t save the West Antarctic. So what now?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    we hope you will enjoy the show

    20231106-003245
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    New Study Warns of an Imminent Spike of Planetary Warming and Deepens Divides Among Climate Scientists - Inside Climate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/02112023/study-warns-of-spike-of-warming-divides-climate-scientists/

    the research was controversial even before it was published, and it may widen the rifts in the climate science community and in the broader public conversation about the severity and imminence of climate impacts, with Hansen criticizing the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for underestimating future warming, while other researchers, including IPCC authors, lambasted the new study.

    The research suggests that an ongoing reduction of sulfuric air pollution particles called aerosols could send the global average annual temperature soaring beyond the targets of the Paris climate agreement much sooner than expected, which would sharply increase the challenges faced by countries working to limit harmful climate change under international agreements on an already treacherous geopolitical stage.

    ...

    Combining the the paleoclimate data with modeling and detailed observations from the last few decades, the team concluded that the world is in for a wild ride of climate impacts, including possible superstorms that could toss house-sized boulders to the top of seaside cliffs, radical changes to global rainfall patterns that would affect agriculture in densely populated regions and possibly several meters of sea level rise by 2100, as compared to the IPCC-projected range of .29 to 1.1 meters.

    ...

    Hansen’s new research about the relative strengths of those competing effects diverges from many other studies by suggesting the cooling effect has been underestimated so that as sulfur aerosols and their effects on clouds are reduced, temperature will increase more than expected.

    How clouds will change in the decades ahead, and their interaction with aerosols, remains the single greatest uncertainty in making accurate projections for future temperature increases, according to most climate scientists. Several key satellite instruments that could have helped answer that question never made it into orbit in the 1980s and 1990s, despite repeated requests, Hansen said.

    ...

    Schmidt said a new mission called PACE (short for Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem) could quickly reduce the uncertainties surrounding the effects of aerosols on the climate. That satellite should be in orbit within the coming year. Copernicus, the European Union climate change service, is also launching a new satellite, EarthCARE, also with the goal of measuring the relationship of aerosols, clouds and precipitation to how much of the sun’s radiation reaches Earth to drive global heating.

    Absent those data, the new study used a process of elimination to again show reductions in sulfur aerosols were triggering accelerated warming. Comparisons with past climate periods hold some of the clues, showing, for example, that reefs along the Yucatán Peninsula grew upward and shoreward in giant spurts over the course of just a few decades, about 100,000 years ago during the late Eemian geological era. That, Hansen said, is another warning sign that parts of Earth’s climate system, and particularly ice sheets and ice shelves, are more sensitive to warming than we think.

    “The IPCC system doesn’t acknowledge the degree to which the aerosol forcing will affect the climate in the next few decades, probably more than anything else,” Simons said. “We hope we’re wrong.”
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