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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    "If the AMOC starts to collapse, it takes more than 100 years to reach a substantially weaker state. During that transition, the Northwestern European climate would change drastically and is expected to see colder winters, less rainfall, and more severe winter storms."
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    New Yorkers and millions of others in the Northeast have faced flash floods for the second time in two weeks as severe thunderstorms and torrential downpours slammed the East Coast.

    Some workers in NY and New Jersey were sent home early Thursday afternoon ahead of the evening commute. The city’s emergency management agency urged people to avoid unnecessary travel, warning that street, basement, and transit flooding were possible. States of emergency were declared in New York and New Jersey as the storms arrived.

    NYC and NJ weather: States of emergency declared as millions in Northeast drenched by heavy rain | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/new-york-nyc-new-jersey-flash-flooding-state-of-emergency-b2800123.html
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    tohle je vtipný návrh :-)
    Met Office should name storms after fossil fuel companies, say campaigners | UK weather | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/jun/26/met-office-should-name-storms-after-fossil-fuel-companies-say-campaigners
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    A new study warns hurricanes will likely get stronger and more common in the Atlantic and East Pacific Oceans, putting coastal towns from Florida to Mexico at greater risk, the study's researchers said via Phys.org.

    What's happening?
    University of Reading scientists said they have managed to take a potentially game-changing step in determining ways to predict hurricanes up to 10 years ahead of time.

    Their findings are concerning if their modeling is accurate, too. The researchers, using software from the U.K. Met Office, said their projections indicate that the rates of tropical cyclones — hurricanes and tropical storms that are below hurricane levels of strength — are likely to double from their 1970s levels. They also projected significant increases of such storms in the East Pacific through 2030, though at a less dramatic spike, increasing by roughly a third.

    Scientists issue jaw-dropping warning about future of powerful hurricanes: 'Time to prepare'
    https://www.thecooldown.com/outdoors/increasing-hurricane-predictions-atlantic-east-pacific/
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    TADEAS: meli vic vydelavat luzri, ted si muzou v klidu umrit, cha

    nastesti bohaty staty jsou v pohode
    US storms kill 2, threatens to create a blizzard, tornadoes and fires | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/tornadoes-storms-mardi-gras-rescheduled-579b9ec79b2c5f08e977e018a73aab81
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Spain braces for new storms as flooding disaster’s political fallout continues | Spain | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/12/spain-braces-new-storms-flooding-disaster-political-fallout-continues
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Fears of ‘mass grave’ in Valencia as storms batter Majorca & 5,000 more troops deployed
    https://youtu.be/tL9Q_cZxSMY?t=258&si=jGF01ohrKSae3uhG


    Wars, famines, droughts, floods
    Hurricanes, heat waves, murders, thugs
    Chaos, refugees, stress, disease
    Extinction, disaster, I-P-C-C

    TADEAS
    OTAZKAKONCE
    OTAZKAKONCE --- ---
    Nicmene, ano, chyba je pravděpodobně na moji strane, zde je fotka ktera je ze stejne situace a vypada real. Ta puvodninje podivne rozostrena a celkove zvlastni takže mě to asi vedlo k chybnému závěru.

    British man among 92 people killed in Spain flash floods | World News | Metro News
    https://metro.co.uk/2024/10/29/spain-issues-extreme-weather-warning-hit-huge-hail-storms-21887617/
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    MARSHUS: hele takový hurikán Floyd 13.srpna 1993 trefil Francii ještě jako hurikán jednička i když ne oficiálně kvůli bordelu v Bretaňské meteorologické službě. Ale jako tropická bouře i tak dost s přehledem.

    Dalších pět jen co jsem tak zběžně našel jako tropická bouře

    Takže si to asi necheckla ani jednou

    Kirk navíc těžko dosáhne vůbec rychlosti větru tropické bouře.

    Vzácné to samozřejmě je, ale není to poprvé, ani podruhé......

    Trajectories-for-Hurricanes-Floyd-1993-and-Lili-1996-together-with-other-storms-over
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    hurikany se prečíslují


    In the past decade, five tropical storms had wind speeds so high that they should have been classified as “category 6” storms, according to an analysis that suggests the hurricane scale may need to be updated as rising temperatures fuel stronger storms.

    If carbon emissions continue at current rates, we might even see “category 7” storms. “It certainly is theoretically possible if we keep warming the planet,” says climate scientist James Kossin at the First Street Foundation, a non-profit research organisation in New York.

    Officially, there is no such thing as a category 6 or category 7 hurricane. According to the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale used by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in the US, any storm with sustained wind speeds of 252 kilometres per hour and over is a category 5.

    Hurricanes are becoming so strong we may need a new scale to rate them | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2415741-hurricanes-are-becoming-so-strong-we-may-need-a-new-scale-to-rate-them/
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    Comparing 2000-2020 period to 1980-2000 period:

    Number of #droughts up 1.29x
    Number of #storms up 1.4x
    Number of #floods up 2.34x
    Number of #heatwaves up 3.32x

    From United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

    #climate #weather #pocasi
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    More than 150 dead after Hurricane Helene dumps over 40tn gallons of rain | Hurricane Helene | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/01/hurricane-helene-rainfall

    “These storms are wetter and these storms are warmer,” North Carolina state climatologist Kathie Dello said. “There would have been a time when a tropical storm would have been heading toward North Carolina and would have caused some rain and some damage, but not apocalyptic destruction.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    In a world first, Grenada activates debt pause after Hurricane Beryl
    https://www.climatechangenews.com/2024/08/21/in-a-world-first-grenada-activates-debt-pause-after-hurricane-beryl-destruction/

    unlike in 2004, officials this time could deploy a tool that has been widely discussed in climate circles to provide financial help in the wake of fierce storms: hurricane clauses built into its agreements with international creditors.

    Grenada last week became the first country in the world to use such a provision in a government bond which will allow it to postpone debt repayments to private investors, including US investment firms Franklin Templeton and T. Rowe Price.



    Caribbean islands hope UN court will end ‘debt cycle’ caused by climate crisis | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/aug/25/caribbean-islands-hope-un-court-will-end-debt-cycle-caused-by-climate-crisis
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    superyacht was hit by tornado and sank

    Sicily yacht sinking: Morgan Stanley International chair Jonathan Bloomer among missing | Italy | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/20/super-yacht-sinks-sicily-jonathan-bloomer-missing-mike-lynch-sinking

    Storms and heavy rainfall have swept down Italy in recent days after weeks of scorching heat, which had lifted the temperature of the Mediterranean sea to record levels, raising the risk of extreme weather conditions, experts said.

    “The sea surface temperature around Sicily was around 30C (86F), which is almost 3 degrees more than normal. This creates an enormous source of energy that contributes to these storms,” said meteorologist Luca Mercalli.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z jineho soudku - novinky v pocasi. Wild-fire fire-breathing thunderstorms.

    Doporucuju fotodokumentaci

    Fire-Breathing Smoke Storms Punch High Into the Atmosphere | Discover Magazine
    https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/fire-breathing-smoke-storms-punch-high-into-the-atmosphere

    As is evident from the image above and others that follow, these pyrocumulonimbus clouds, or pyroCbs, offer a visually dramatic reminder of just how extreme wildfire behavior can get. But they are significant for other reasons as well.

    PyroCbs can hurl barrages of lightning bolts to the ground, triggering even more wildfires. They also can help spread harmful particulate pollution far and wide, and even drive smoke into the stratosphere, five to seven miles above Earth's surface. Here, the smoke can actually influence the global climate, recent research has shown.

    ...

    It has long been known that pyrocumulonimbus clouds rise up from volcanic eruptions and nuclear explosions. But the first scientific confirmation of a pyroCb erupting from a wildfire didn't come until the year 2000.

    As the climate has warmed, and wildfire activity has intensified, pyroCbs have grown larger and more frequent, with record-breaking events in 2017, 2019, 2020 and 2021. In that latter year, an early and unusually warm fire season produced particularly scary pyroCb outbreaks.

    On July 16 of that year, an astonishing 10 pyroCbs blew up along the Saskatchewan-Manitoba border in Canada. Up until that point, this was a greater number than scientists had ever observed in North America on a single day since satellite tracking began in 2013, according to NASA.

    The outbreak came just two weeks after a monster pyroCb astonished scientists. It happened as a storm cell grew above a wildfire in British Columbia and spread across more than 62,000 square miles. That's an area slightly larger than the state of Georgia. This gargantuan cloud propelled a chimney of smoke into the stratosphere, as high as 10 miles up.
    ...
    The North American Lightning Detection Network recorded nearly 113,000 cloud-to-ground lightning strokes during the event, a large amount for a storm in Canada," according to NASA. "One meteorologist calculated that this one pyroCb event produced about 5 percent of Canada’s total annual lightning all at once."
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: No tak to mi zas neprijde prekvapivy, vzhledem k tomu, ze tam je vic faktoru - treba vliv teploty, takze to na prvni pohled videt bejt nemusi (prebiji to jinej faktor). Nicmene, ze to ma vyraznej vliv je rychlym googlenim celkem akceptovanej jev. viz:

    El Niño produces stronger westerly wind at upper levels of the atmosphere across the tropical Atlantic than in normal non-El Niño seasons. This increases the total vertical wind shear, basically shearing the tops from developing storms before a healthy circulation can form. El Niño events generally suppress Atlantic hurricane activity so fewer hurricanes than normal form in the Atlantic during August to October, the peak of Atlantic hurricane season.
    NWS Jackson, MS: El Nino and La Nina
    https://www.weather.gov/jan/el_nino_and_la_nina#How_do_El_Nino_and_La_Nina_affect_the_Atlantic_hurricane_season_

    Ale kvantifikaci jsem nasel akorat v tomhle starsim paperu a ted uz musim pracovat .]]

    We reanalyze the frequency of hurricanes making landfall in the United States from 1900-1997 for the phases of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Corrected U.S. hurricane data are used, and tropical storms are not considered in this study. The reanalysis shows that during an El Niño year, the probability of 2 or more hurricanes making landfall in the U.S. is 28%. The reanalysis further determines that the probability of 2 or more U.S. hurricanes during the other two phases is larger: 48% during neutral years and 66% during El Viejo. Also, we determine the range of these strike probabilities for El Niño and El Viejo. Strike probabilities of major U.S. hurricanes during each ENSO phase are also considered.

    Effect of El Niño on U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes, Revisited - Florida Climate Center
    https://climatecenter.fsu.edu/topics/tropical-weather/effect-of-el-nino-on-us-landfalling-hurricanes-revisited?highlight=WzksIjknIl0=
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: No "spise slabsi" - byla to nejaktivnejsi sezona v dobe El Nina (ktery typicky formovani hurikanu snizuje) a celkove to byla 4. nejaktivnejsi sezona za dobu zaznamu. To mi neprijde uplne "slabsi".

    The natural phenomenon is part of a recurring ocean-and-atmosphere pattern that warms and cools the eastern tropical Pacific through El Niño and La Niña events that last from one to three years. El Niño conditions usually lead to below-average hurricane seasons because of an increase in wind shear, which can disrupt the structure of tropical cyclones.
    On the other hand, the oceans were already record-warm. And warm sea surface temperatures tend to lead to above-average hurricane activity.

    The unusual 2023 Atlantic hurricane season ends » Yale Climate Connections
    https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/11/the-unusual-2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-ends/

    “The Atlantic basin produced the most named storms of any El Nino influenced year in the modern record,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “The record-warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic provided a strong counterbalance to the traditional El Nino impacts.”
    2023 Atlantic hurricane season ranks 4th for most-named storms in a year | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-ranks-4th-for-most-named-storms-in-year
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘Washout winter’ spells price rises for UK shoppers with key crops down by a fifth | Food | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/29/washout-winter-spells-price-rises-for-uk-shoppers-with-key-crops-down-by-a-fifth

    UK harvests of important crops could be down by nearly a fifth this year due to the unprecedented wet weather farmers have faced, increasing the likelihood that the prices of bread, beer and biscuits will rise.

    Analysis by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) has estimated that the amount of wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape could drop by 4m tonnes this year, a reduction of 17.5% compared with 2023.

    The warnings come as farmers have borne the brunt of the heavy rainfall and bad weather experienced over the winter, with the UK experiencing 11 named storms since September.

    In England, there was 1,695.9mm of rainfall between October 2022 and March 2024, the wettest 18-month period since records began in 1836.

    This has resulted in planted crops either being flooded or damaged by the wet weather, or farmers not being able to establish crops at all.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    L Simons
    https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1780662090715328936


    I still often blow my mind at seeing the scale of the human enterprise.

    -Humanity uses ~0.6 ZJ (600,000,000,000,000,000,000 joules) of energy per year.
    -That's equal to ~30% of the ~2 ZJ in annual photosynthesis of the entire biosphere!
    -The biosphere retains about 19 ZJ of biochemical energy.
    -The greenhouse gases we have added to the atmosphere caused our planet to accumulate ~90 ZJ of heat in the past 4 years alone!

    We have created the anthroposphere. A new part of the planetary system with an insatiable hunger for energy.

    And we are about to be faced with more energy than we can stomach.

    Be it as unbearable heat, as super storms, or as melted ice flooding our cities through rising seas
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